June 5, 2014
Played event 1 at Parx, and went deep, There were over 1800 players, and I played the last flight which started at 11AM, and this hand went down at approx. 1AM. Starting stacks were 30k, and my stack had been fluctuating all day where I had been over 100k, and down to 19k. Tables were breaking up quickly, and I had been at this table for a half an hour, and had cultivated an active image. Blinds were 1500/3000/400, and i had 3 bet shoved one hand, and open shoved another with between 10-15 bb's. One orbit of folding later we are 50 away from the money, and I am sitting with about 17 bb's, villain is in his 20's, seems nitty, and has not played a hand since I sat down at this table. BTW I am an older guy, but I dress, and play like a young grinder. I could probably check/fold my way to a cash, but that would be ridiculous, as min-cashing would pay about $609, and 1st place pays over 100k. On to the hand: villain who has over 25 bb's raise's to 9k from UTG+2, folds to me in middle position, and I look down at 99. I have approx. 17 bb's left with about an hour to play before bagging chips for day 2. Is folding here even a consideration? Can I just call to set mine, or do I have to raise, and if so, should I not just shove considering the situation? I am not worried about the players behind me, as table is playing very tight, and if someone wakes up with aces or kings than so be it. Thoughts please…
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
Without a read this is a shove, but against the player you described I can see folding.
Set mining is out of the question. As it will cost you 9000 to see a flop, you'd have to expect to win 90K+ when you hit a set, which obviously you can't.
It doesn't seem like Villain will fold too often, and you have just 42% equity against a calling range of {88+,AQ+}.
With four players behind you, the risk of someone waking up with JJ+ (generously assuming they'll fold TT) is over 5%. That's not trivial, and it's enough to swing a close shove into a fold.
June 5, 2014
Yeah, I kind of thought that this might have been a fold under normal circumstances. However, I had been playing 14 hours at this time, and I felt that I needed a decent stack to make it worthwhile to play day 2 ( i didn't want to start day 2 with less than 20 bb's).
I incorporated this feeling into my decision to shove, and hoped that he had AT+, 77+ so that I would at least be in a race or better. Maybe my desire to accumulate chips for day 2 overwhelmed a more logical decision which would have been to fold, and wait for a better spot? I guess bagging any chips at all is better than getting knocked out? Thanks!
May 30, 2012
Forgive me, but I'm a bit confused………. You are still on Day 1c, the SATurday game right? You say you are on 1.5/3k levs which is lev 14 for the Parx structure. Lev 15 (Last lev of day) is always 2k/4k. NO WAY you are 50 away from the money……….. There were still a bunch of people buying into day 2 w/ 6bb's. 290 players made DAY 2. ONLY 182 or so got paid. You couldn't have been 50 away from the money at this point.
I don't mind the fold depending on how you feel about the open raiser and everything Andrew said. I will also say I think your statement about coming back to 20bb in this type of structured tourney is not a good statement. Last BigStax series in the huge 300, I ended day 1 w/ 87k. Day 2 starts w/ 2.5k/5k, so I had 15bbs about. I turned that into 13th place and $4500. 20bb's at Parx during BigStax is PLENTY……..Matt Glantz & Parx put together great structured tourneys. This whole series is the BEST on the east coast and one of the best besides the WSOP Main that you will have a chance to play. that being said, coming back with 20bb's and 60 or 90 minute levels is awesome. Most are not jamming lite.
Just a thought. Don't listen to me though, ANDREW is da MAN
June 5, 2014
P aire you are right ” Andrew is da Man”. What can I say? It had been a long day, and maybe I was off by 50-100 players to the money.
Props to you for 13th going into Day 2 with 15BB's! I know that this can be done. I just hate playing the short stack! I guess that I need to be more patient. BTW I agree that the Parx Bigstax is a great structure next to the WSOPME. Definitely beats Borgata! Good luck my friend!
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