April 26, 2013
I was playing a lot yesterday, made quite some deepruns but always had my chips taken away by some inevitable event (KK vs AA, TPTK vs 2pair/set etc.). In the Big $27.50 I had so many spots where I was unsure about my play that I have to post several hand histories to see if I should take a break and get my A-game going again or if I was only confronted with more difficult decisions than usual.
1st hand: We are ITM, about 100 left, I got slightly below average stack: 48k, sitting in the SB and get dealt 77.
Blinds: 1600/800/200, we are 8 handed
pre: UTG+1 (stack: 110k, table chipleader), a good reg opens for a minraise to 3200, it gets folded to my small blind, I decide to flat, not only to set mine, but to continue on a lot of boards and reevaluate on the turn. I don't want to 3bet-fold to a 4bet-shove. Good idea? The reg hasn't been very active so far, we don't have much postflop info on him.
flop: 52J
Looks super-dry to me, I think we are good here most of the time.
Villain cbets 3552 into a pot of 9600. I raise to 8800 – too small? Or should we ever just flat if we think our hand is good? There are just so many turns we don't want to see. Villain flats.
turn: 2
Best turn ever, unless he has A2. If we were good before, we should be now, right? I lead 9600. Again I think it might be too small.
Villain calls. Now when he does that I put him on a weak J like TJ, QJ, maybe even KJ? Or any pair like 88 – TT? Don't think he'd do that with A5, but not sure. Overpairs should raise that turn I think (?). I will probably check-give up on river, calling only a small bet.
river: 7
Best card for us, no doubt, unless he has JJ. We lead for 16240 into a pot of 46400, leaving behind 11300 in our stack. Should we just shove?
Villain folds.
He titlted against me from this point on. I wonder what that was about.
September 5, 2013
Fold or 3b/c pre. You are not deep enough to set mine and I really don't see a point why you want to play OOP vs a good reg who hasn't been very active yet.
As played I would x/c the flop. You're only getting called by better hands, so you basicly turn your hand into a bluff, which isn't necesarry because you have showdownvalue. Besides that you represent nothing. You would probably 3b/c 99+ and if you play JQ+ the same pre ( which I don't like, 3b/f or fold is better) way you probably would x/c the flop.
Villain is not going to bet the turn with hands we beat so therefore I would x/f the turn. I don't agree with you that overpairs should raise the turn. Like a said before your range doesn't have alot of valuecombo's so it would be terrible to raise, because you are folding all your bluffs.
You should def shove the river. You have more bluffs in your range than valuecombo's so you need a bigger sizing.
April 26, 2013
I do believe on a dry board like that villain might bet turn often, regs tend to 2-barral a lot.
Flop check-call sounds good.
AlsoI think I shouldn't be 3bet-calling pre. If we give him a super wide 4bet-shove range (66+, AJo+, A5s, ATs+, KQ, QJs) we got 43.5% equity. However if he is shoving tighter (88+, AQo+, AJs+, KQs) we only have 35.8%. So I think 3bet fold is an option, but not sure if it's a good idea.
Yeah, totally agree on the river shove, though. My bet looks totally nutted.
April 26, 2013
So just fold this pretty pocket pair, because of stack sizes and beeing oop with a hand that's awkward-to-play postflop?
Thanks for the great analysis. I just got a hard time folding 66+ vs. a reg opening from early position. What other hands would you fold? 88, too? 99 I'd try and get it in, I think. If he has a better pair: gg. Or is a flat with 99 better because there are more flops we like? Do you fold AJo as well? How about ATs? 😀 I am really curious. KQs I'd flat for sure. How about KJs and KQo?
As much as it pains me to say it, I think you need to fold PF. You have an M=12 and 30bb. You are OOP for the rest of the hand w/ a small pair. If you 3 bet the flop you'll have to fold to a shove. I just don't like it…
As played though, I would shove the river. You might get a crying call from QQ+ or maybe even AJ. Good post.
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