June 15, 2012
The hand above I played in the first 10mins of the KO. Hand is completely readless really, not seen much from villian and I don't have a working HUD atm.
I think the flop is pretty standard, he should cbet this flop 100% of the time. On the turn, I think this is a good turn card to turn a value hand into a bluff, but others in the Skype group disagree. When he checks through the turn, I am pretty certain we have the best hand and feel we should bet most rivers for value, however I do not see the offsuit A as being one of them. I also feel there could be an arguement for betting the river as that way we don't have to play the guessing game of whether or not he is turning KQ with a diamond or some other hand into a bluff.
Also, a few people told me that they feel the flop is a fold, I'm pretty sure that this is definatly not a winning play.
Thoughts and opinions below guys 🙂
June 5, 2012
Readless this is really tough. A 6x iso makes me think we're looking at a relatively weak player, but maybe that is standard for the game type? I'm not sure. But also since the iso is coming from MP, I would tend to think his range is pretty strong, and our TT isn't in great shape.
Obviously the flat pre is perfect. As far as flop goes…I think there is an argument for just betting out. Since we're multiway, I don't think we're going to be facing a lot of action from hands that we beat, so betting out gets value from FDs, random floats etc., while making our decisions on later streets easier.
As played, my initial reaction is 'no way fold on flop', but the more I think about it…I don't think it's terrible. He's betting pretty big into three players, which is generally pretty strong. On the other hand, he was last to act making his range a little wider. I think the tournament structure should have an impact on the decision (i.e., if its slower I would lean towards folding and just picking a better spot). But calling is probably fine.
After you call flop, I think everything else is fine. I would say leading river would be really bad, since the only thing we beat at that point would be 3 combos of KQs that may/may not be in his range, and possibly 88 (which again, may or may not be in his range).
Overall, just kind of a yucky spot. As played is fine. If the structure is good, you can probably comfortably get away on flop and just save your chips. Not that I would likely fold in game, but theoretically…
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