in general this looks a bit like spew to me – even if villain has folded 4/4 times, that doesn't mean squat really. in fact it means that it will be more likely as time goes on that villain opens a lot stronger. 

if i was going to bet that flop after 3betting, i would bet a lot more – something like 2800-3200 would be better. my reasoning for that is your flop bet screams weakness imo, you want to make it look like you have 2 black aces or something and so i would be putting in a much bigger bet on the flop. 

then, if you wanted to continue, you could shove turn. this makes your line look like QQ+ imo. 

as played, you have given villain value to draw out on you, and if they had 99 or TT then they are probably still calling, as all draws missed, and i think only AQ with a heart is going to play the way you have and be in front of TT say. 

so i dont necessarily mind the triple barrel (you have to get your spewyness on sometimes right? :D) but i would play it faster. 

sammyboy said:

 

jshilling & benny – you both think that a 4/4 fold doesnt give enough reason to try a play ( I realise that KTo is defo a play), but my thinking was that a 16/13 player would try and steal from HJ fairly light, and his history told me he had folded to 3bets (although these are PT stats and not direct situation reads – ie he might have folded to a lot of action not just one 3bet) – not enough reason to try it on?

 

the reason i am saying that this is that most people, when getting picked on – folded 4/4 times to a 3bet – will then start to tighten up their range a bit, if they are a thinking player. if they are a fish, they will try to “take a stand” with whatever they opened with, and a lot of that still beats you. (ace rag, mid pp etc) 

 

secondly, how many hands was this over? i am guessing less than 100. if you had 1k hands and a 60% fold to 3bet then i would think this is a much better spot. but limited stats can often be misleading.