November 4, 2013
G'evening TPE,
This may be a bit of a results oriented question, but I am wondering if I missed a spot here that you guys are taking. $10 turbo, 14 players remaining, ITM, 7 handed (title is wrong, it's not FT)
UTG opener (n=70) is playing 26/9 but limping 23% Cbet 2 times out of 4 and hasn't 3bet yet.
UTG+1 caller (n=46) is playing 32/13, limping 19%, 3betting 15.4%
The player in the BB, yet to act (n=51) is playing 35/15, limping 25% I haven't seen him 3bet or resteal yet, but he hasn't been given much of a chance to show me.
Not great information, but it's something.
Merge Network $1K Gtd – [Turbo, Deep] No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t2000.00/t4000.00 Blinds + t400.00 – 7 players – View hand 2527665
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
jutzmvp (CO): BB = 9.0, t36158
SIDEUKAKsK (BTN): BB = 17.3, t69376
Hero (SB): BB = 8.3, t33258
aalouisus2 (BB): BB = 7.5, t29946
blufferTheDoctor (UTG): BB = 21.6, t86591
Jerr4964 (UTG+1): BB = 7.0, t27820
ace4pokerstar (MP): BB = 5.9, t23410
Pre Flop: (t8800) Hero is SB with 5 5
blufferTheDoctor raises to t8000.00, Jerr4964 calls t8000, 3 folds, Hero?
I felt blufferTheDoctor was reasonably strong, as he seemed not the light UTG open raising type. I could not make a good estimate of Jerr4964's call, but it was strange. I do know my probable fold equity felt small if I was to push my meager 6BB over their 2BB. Actually UTG opener looked more likely to fold than UTG+1 caller in this case.
If I was in the BB, with only 4000 to call, and I could have closed the action I would have called easily.
Instead I had to call 6000 with 24800 in the pot in the SB and another player to get through. I had 30k behind and would be calling off one fifth of my stack.
If I didn't flop a set I would pretty much have to give up immediately.
What would you do?
Maybe a shove was more in order than I'm thinking.
But I chose to fold and preserve my stack as I figured 88% of the time I wouldn't have been inspired to write this post.
Thanks guys!
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