Ok, I'll take a crack at this…

Not a fan of your PFR.  A 3.2 raise with only 29BB behind is hardly a “bump”.  I'm looking to make it 2x to 2.3x at most there.  

Also, why would him checking to the original raiser OTF be weird?  It seems like a fairly harmless flop so I'm C-Betting this around 40-45% of the pot.

If he's leading out OTT on a card like that, I'm not great at ranges but I'm going to go with 77, JJ, KJs, KQs, KQo, AQs, AQo, AKs or AKo (though the AKs hands, I would think he'd 3B, being out of position)  and then possibly TJs (did the turn bring a flush draw?).  I can't see him flatting pre-flop with KK, AA OOP.  I don't think he's flatting QQ pre-flop either (though he might since you raised it so big from UTG).  The donk on the turn,  I don't think he'd try that move with TT or 99 when the K hits, since you make him sound tight.  I'm calling the turn.  Interested to hear what others have to say.  I'm guessing my range is a bit off.  🙂

First post on here, trying to be active in the strategy forums over the next few weeks…

Analyzing just the pre flop bet sizing in this post.

Before we just say the PFR bet sizing is bad lets look at how it effects the pot…if you are 9 handed

                        pre flop

3x:    .75bb(ante) + 3.16bb(bettor) + 3.16bb(caller) + 1bb(big blind) = 8bb

min raise:  .75bb(ante)  + 2bb(bettor)  + 2bb(caller) +1bb(big blind) = 5.75bb

I think we also have to factor that depending on the big blinds stack he might flat as well preflop because he will be getting such great odds to a min raise, and much worse odds to a 3.2x preflop. On a min raise he is getting 5.75:1 which means he should be calling a huge range of hands.  On a 3.2x he is getting 4:1 odds narrowing down his calling range forcing hands like 79o q7s just to fold

                      3x: post flop 8bb pot

If:  Hero cbets 1/2 pot and villain calls pot = 16bb leaving hero with 22bb left

this is a very awkard stack size so hero has to adjust his bet sizing on the flop to make the turn decision easier.  If they want to set up a pot size bet jam on the turn they have to bet closer to pot.  Aggresive players will get their stacks in on the turn with draws, whether they hit or not, and top pairs. Passive players will most likely bet 1/3-1/4 pot on flop and check back turns when they brick, or will bet 1/2-2/3 pot when they hit.

                     Min raise: post flop 5.75 bb

If:  Hero cbets 2.5bb he will have 24.5bb behind and the pot will be at 6.25bb before the villain acts.

           Villain calls pot is 8.75bb

           Villain raises to 7.5bb pot is 13.75 and this is a very bad spot for the Hero with a 24bb stack.  All in would be betting 24 to win 13.75 or .57:1 odd.  It also puts the added pressure on the hero because he will have to make a decision to maintain his reshove stack.

You can make a good arguement for either action, it really depends on your style of play.  If your image is tighter your 3.2x is optimal because your pot size shove on the turn will get folds much more of the time.   For players that like to open a lot of hands as steals they will have to min raise and fold more often post flop when they don't flop good.  Now we have to consider what happens when hero gets 3 bet by a Villain in position. 

3.2x will most likely get 3bet very small because the bet is alreayd so big, something like 6.7 which will have make the pot 12.15bb and Hero has 25.8bb behind which isn't a bad 4bet shove stack. 

A min raise will change the preflop decision drastically.  Villain will raise to something like 5bb making the pot 9.25bb with the Hero having 27bb behind. 

On a table that 3bets a lot you are almost always going to get 3bet with your stack size especially since you are raising UTG.  After assessing the 3bet spots, I actually think 3.2x preflop is optimal considering how you set yourself up for a 4bet.