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TPE Management
March 17, 2010
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Villain has been a bit of a donkish station. I feel like he’s got some sort of weak K or weak pair. Should I jam the river or just give up?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold’em, 11 Tournament, 200/400 Blinds 50 Ante (8 handed) – Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (CO) (t26127)
Button (t25380)
SB (t7660)
BB (t4630)
UTG (t18476)
UTG+1 (t4935)
MP1 (t7970)
MP2 (t16200)
Hero’s M: 26.13
Preflop: Hero is CO with Q
, 10
UTG calls t400, 2 folds, MP2 calls t400, Hero bets t1600, 3 folds, UTG calls t1200, 1 fold
Flop: (t4600) K
, 7, 6 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets t2800, UTG calls t2800
Turn: (t10200) 2 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets t5600, UTG calls t5600
River: (t21400) 3 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero?
Well the pot is 21400 and he has 8426 behind, what do you think he would be willing to lay down given that information. Would he play his draws by calling the flop and turn bet, I wouldnt count on it. I would expect he would have raised the flop on a flush or straight draw. The turn and river are both blanks and he called on that blank turn bet. I believe if he has any piece of this board and he called that turn bet he is not folding especially to that river.
why are we barrelling this turn against a station again?
May 26, 2010
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Seems like a weakish K to me (KJ,K10s,KQs) or possibly flush draw or nut flush draw? It’s hard to know without any reads on how he plays particular situations. On the river the straight (less likely) and flush draws (a little more reasonable) miss so he either has a hand like top pair or nothing IMO. Is it possible he limped called pf with something like 66,77,88 and hit a set and just let you do the betting? would a set raise on the turn to build a pot if you had a King like you are sort of representing?
Lets take him off some hands right away….
AA,KK,QQ,JJ,1010 all are probably out as well as AK,AQ,AJ IMO as these are usually raises PF. It IS possible was trapping with AA preflop but rare and even more rare
is KK since a K hit the flop but you never know. That should leave pp’s
22-99 and the 1 gapper broadway cards suited or not and the suited aces.
A suited ace of hearts such as A10,A9 is possible considering the way
the flop and turn was played (chk calling) but so is middle PP’s looking to get to a cheap showdown?
would love to know the outcome of this hand
bear with me guys as im trying to learn how to analyse hands and come to conclusions…
what was the result?
TPE Management
March 17, 2010
Offline
plessis204 said:
why are we barrelling this turn against a station again?
Because I have a hard time believing he can continue here with what I perceive his range to be. But I’m probably underestimating how bad players can be.
TPE Management
March 17, 2010
Offline
Metasploit said:
Seems like a weakish K to me (KJ,K10s,KQs) or possibly flush draw or nut flush draw? It’s hard to know without any reads on how he plays particular situations. On the river the straight (less likely) and flush draws (a little more reasonable) miss so he either has a hand like top pair or nothing IMO. Is it possible he limped called pf with something like 66,77,88 and hit a set and just let you do the betting? would a set raise on the turn to build a pot if you had a King like you are sort of representing?
Lets take him off some hands right away….
AA,KK,QQ,JJ,1010 all are probably out as well as AK,AQ,AJ IMO as these are usually raises PF. It IS possible was trapping with AA preflop but rare and even more rare
is KK since a K hit the flop but you never know. That should leave pp’s
22-99 and the 1 gapper broadway cards suited or not and the suited aces.
A suited ace of hearts such as A10,A9 is possible considering the way
the flop and turn was played (chk calling) but so is middle PP’s looking to get to a cheap showdown?
would love to know the outcome of this hand
bear with me guys as im trying to learn how to analyse hands and come to conclusions…
what was the result?
I feel like this is 90% his range with a tiny % of hidden monsters. So if that’s the case what do we do? Can we get him off of it or should we give up?
Pros, what do you do? If you feel like this is what he has do you just stick it in or preserve your stack for later?
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