If you double you don’t have 2nd place, you just have a 20bb stack in an insanely high-variance tournament.

I imagine ICM would tell us this is a comfortable fold here. You have zero chance of getting both players to fold, and there’s another 8bb stack who will hit the blinds before you. It’s also worth noting that FGS calculations on HRC frequently tell us to shove a little tighter on the BTN and in the CO than we might expect, by virtue of the fact that we can wait longer before going through the blinds.

There’s also a good chance that with the shallow stack sizes, these two players will get it in on the flop fairly frequently. As a result, one of them is likely to bust or be crippled on this specific hand at least some % of the time, which should make you even more likely to fold.

If you have 15bb and some fold equity here as well as the opportunity to put a ton of ICM pressure on the other players themselves, that’s one thing, but when you’re waiting it out a little and you have no fold equity at all, I wouldn’t be shocked if ICM told you to get it in with something like 99+ AK+ here.