May 19, 2016
Personally I believe yo made the right choice. with info I have, Wasn’t given much to go on, as far as, reads for V, looks late in tourney as the blinds are somewhat large. is it past the bubble, is the next payout jump large?
BB had odds to call Pre with a very wide range of hands
Tight player cold calling MP, poss. 4 card straight/flush, 2 pair, poss. trips
BB puts in really small bet then when raised shoves.
Would like to see out come after a few more posts.
If somebody sees me posting a mistake please let me know so I…… well, so I know.
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
Nice post, almo. The problem I see in some of the posts here is a failure to consider equity and pot odds. I think both OP and Jupiter seem to be saying, “well, there are a bunch of hands V could have that beat me, guess I better fold”, but that’s not all there is to it. He could also have draws or worse hands for value, and you have to compare your equity against that entire range to the pot odds you are getting.
Also as a rule of thumb, if you see a flop with an SPR of less than 2, you should pretty much always be stacking off with an overpair.
May 19, 2016
So here is probably one of my leaks as I to would have folded that hand, even after putting out all those chips.
However I have called those all ins on similar boards with the same hand and both won and lost the hand, won because V’s hands didn’t improve, and lost due to over cards limping in and/or the person straightening out on me.
Put it through a poker equity calc with the following results:
Preflop:
Hero: keeps bouncing around 50.4% equity
Neutfifh:18.8% equity
Ukkel:30.6 equity
Flop:
Hero: 41.78% equity, 48.19%
Nutsfifh: 31.46% equity I gave him an 11% range, However, 86s doesn’t appear until a 48.8% range is achieved (heros second stat)
Ukkel: I gave a wider range of 15.0% of hands that made his equity 26.76% before updating nutsfifh range after that, it became 29.49%
Turn:
Hero: 56.9 % equity
Nutsfifh: 19.3 % equity
Ukkel: 23.7 %
River:
Hero: 73.3 %
Nutsfifh: 12.2%
Ukkel: 14.9%
So the hooks definitely had the equity to call all the way. I still feel that the tournament dynamics and pay jump should still have an influence on the hand. Any thoughts on that?
How did you do over all in the Tournament LasPark? Not that that has anything to do with the strategy of this hand.
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