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November 18, 2013
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$125 live tournament in Las Vegas. Field has been exceptionally soft full of passive tourists.
We just combined to the final table recently. I was crushing my table with 2 tables left, but most of the knockouts in the last two tables came at my table. so most of the villains including the one in this hand are unknown. 9 players left 7 paid. Blinds (2K/ 4K/ 500). Average stack is about 85K.
Villain (220K) is a 20-something Asian guy from Hong Kong. I have only seen him play a few orbits and he didn't seem very active, but small sample size.
Hero (160K) I have been fairly quiet at the new table due to being card dead and having some 8-12 BB stacks on my left so villain has no reason to perceive me as aggro. He may have seen me raise / fold to a shove once in three orbits.
Hero raises 9500 with J9
. Folds to villain in BB who calls
Flop (25,500) K6
3
Villain leads for 20K. Hero?
My instinct is to call the flop and evaluate the turn, but I don't want to rule out raising or folding.
Raising would probably commit me to calling a 3 bet since I would be geting 3:1 odds on an 8 out draw which seems like an unnecessary risk. If I raise and he calls but I miss the turn, there's no guarantee I will get a free card.
Folding seems too weak, but I don't love calling. Villain's bet seems pretty large. I have equity, but I'm not sure how great my implied odds are on a call. I need 4:1 on a call, I'm getting 2.2:1 in direct odds, so he would need to call at least 35K on the turn or river if I hit. Calling and missing will get me much closer to the average stack and I'm going to miss 80% of the time.
My plan pre-flop mainly was to steal the blinds, or use my initiative to win with a c-bet post-flop. Since neither of these worked, I could give up and preserve my chips. I don't like any of my three choices. Which do you dislike the least
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