Tournament Name – 3,000 Euro GTD

Buy-in: 20 Euro

Background:

I'm at the final table of the above stated event and 4 players remain. A most unusual incident occurred within the first few minutes of final table play. The villain under investigation berated V5 (now eliminated) for making a call which he believed to be suboptimal from an ICM perspective. The two had been bickering at each other for some time at the previous table and V5's call had re-ignited their quarrel. From memory, the exact quote was “shocking call again but i wouldnt expect you to knw anythng about ICM or poker for that matter.”  

In my view, this comment is possibly the worst thing you can say at a poker table. Not only did the villain come across as an egg, he gave away his position on the learning curve.

I'd only played with him for an hour and a bit so I didn't have any major read on him, though I did somewhat deduce the following: 

-That he has an understanding of call/shove strategy at this stage of a tournament. This extends to an undertanding of Dollar EV and he may be assisted by some software.

-That he's inexperienced (based on his comment and a sharkscope search which reveals he only started playing MTTs 3 months ago)

-That he's possibly tight/passive. 

Our only confrontation up to this point was a rare 3 bet, on his part, to my preflop raise- I folded. And four small vs big blind confrontations which went:

I raised, he folded x 2

I folded (permitting a walk) x 2

Tournament stage

Current blinds/antes:

SB: 2,000

BB: 4,000

Antes: 400

Thus, the preflop pot is 7,600

Approximate stack sizes are as follows:

Hero: 160,000

Villain under investigation (to my left): 170,000

V3: 60,000

V4: 80,000

Prize structure:

1st: 684 Euro

2nd: 480 Euro

3rd: 360 Euro

4th: 269 Euro

It occurred to me at this point that I could make life uncomfortable for the Villain by shoving on his big blind every time the play folds to me- that is, I could shove with a random hand. I proceeded to do this 5 times out of the subsequent 7 orbits- the other 2 orbits were initiated by raises from V3/V4, to which I folded. On my 6th attempt, with stack sizes set out above, I was snapped called by AQo.

As it happens, my 83o ran out as winner but that is neither here nor there. After the game i broke down some ICM calcs from the villain's perspective and this is what I found:

Assuming I have a random hand, the villain should only be calling my shove with hands that have 67% or more equity. This covers the following:

-AKs

-88+

Everything else, yes even AKo, should be folded- though it's close. Go through the calcs here if you have the time:

…..lator/  

Briefly, approximate stack sizes and ICMs are:

a) If villain folds,

Hero: 165,000, 501 Euro

Villain under investigation (to my left): 165,000, 501 Euro

V3: 60,000, 379 Euro

V4: 80,000, 411 Euro

b) If villain calls (and wins),

Hero: 330,000, 617 Euro

V3: 60,000, 441 Euro

V4: 80,000, 466 Euro

Villains Chip EV:

617*.67 + 269*0.33 = (roughly) 501

So my question is- why don't we see more shoving between large stacks at final tables, especially in wide fields where payouts are top heavy? Am i missing something?