well his stats sort of look like mine, like it's approaching lag and getting there. why hasn't he 3bet yet? that sort of tells me why he's 3betting now. i give people way too much credit for being smart, though. if he's a reg and can 3b/cbet oop light, it looks like you got max value as 3betting and cbetting is super easy. I dont think that turn is a good barrel card, so it's easy to give up. if, however, he's checking because he knows youre floating lots and he has showdown value when only gutshot draws are apparent, then you need to decide what bet bet looks like as compared to simply shove turn/river. I love math, but because I spent way too much time in high school/college studying it, I tend to end up doing things by feel. feeling says to check to induce a river call when you shove. really though, this appears like he's just shutting down the majority of the time. he can fall into ck/call mode with pairs 99-AA but how many combos are there compared to other hands that 3b here when doing it light? 5×6 combos + (1 qq combo) = 30 pair combos you beat. with his pfr/vpip stats i'm assuming he's 3betting at least AJ+ and there are lots of other playable hands i'd like to 3bet there. do you have any reads other than posted? i don't ever see a need to raise flop here unless you KNOW he's only 3betting monsters AND he's willing to get them in stubbornly idk. like think about how often he calls a raise and youre aheads vs how often you make more letting him keep control on the turn. his turn range is much wider when you call than when you raise his flop cbet, which should be apparent if you just think about what happens after you raise. if he spazzes against you because of some dynamic, by all means raise your nizzut type hands, but i like call for reasons described.