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Exploitative Postflop Play, $11 ACR 2.5k GTD Early
jacobsharktank
Florida
Playing The Prelims
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September 12, 2016 - 10:13 am
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Notes:
Starting stack got you 5,000 chips
Currently at 50/100/10
registration for another hour or two, not really sure, up to 10bb starting stack
I’ve been very active the last 10 hands. I’ve opened 4 hands, bet/folded a flop, won a small pot after showing down 59ss. I was playing too splashy in general, and was aware of it.

9 handed- all have around 50bb stacks except for a few 100bb stacks. I have 40bb. UTG has 80bb

UTG Raises to 2.95bb (table standard has been 2 or 2.5 the 3 orbits I’ve been here)
Hero UTG+2 raises to 8.50bb with JJ
Folds to UTG who calls.

Flop (19bb with 31.5bb behind) 4c 3s 7h
UTG checks.

Because I’m splashy, I assume villain’s range to be AA sometimes, pairs like 22-99, AQs, AKo. I assume they’ll 4bet get it in QQ+, AKs
Versus that range, I beat 22. 55. 66. 88. 99. AQs. AKo. That leaves AA, 33, 44, 77. 50 combos to 15 combos. I lose to a set no matter what I do. I get it in vs 88 and 99 no matter what I do. I think villain will simply give up and fold overcards vs any bet size. The hands that are left over that can be affected by my own decision making are 22, 55, 66, AQs, AKo. That’s a huge part of the range I’ve assigned him. I think all of this leads to checking being the best option here. Checking can induce from all of those combos. The pot’s so big that I never plan to fold. The bad turns are A and K. Queen only improves 4 combos (which becomes 3 combos) of the total range, so I don’t think I mind it. Everything else is gold to get it in. Normally I’d cbet here, but because I thought about villain’s range a little more, I went with this line.

UTG checks, I check.

turn (19bb, 31.5bb behind) 743r 7r
UTG shoves 31.5bb effective. Hero calls.

Thoughts?

Foucault

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September 12, 2016 - 12:01 pm
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I’d like it better if your pair were bigger. Like, this is a great/standard line with AA. It’s not so obvious to me that you will induce V to put money in on the next street unimproved with the hands you mention. This is a particularly good turn for you, but like are 55 or 66 really that much more likely to put money in if you check and the turn is a Q? And might AK not just check this turn again assuming it’s probably good? An A or K turn is a disaster for you not only because it improves his AK but because if you’re right about V spazzing with other hands than he may bluff you out on these cards.

I think the better solution is to bet small. Your spazziness aside, this is a good spot for you to start betting a polarized range, as you are more likely to have both big pairs and air than your opponent is. A bet of 6BB will surely induce at least a call from 55 or 66, and really it’s hard to imagine AK folding either.

jacobsharktank
Florida
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September 12, 2016 - 1:58 pm
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Thanks, Andrew, for the in-depth reply.

I agree that this line works best with AA, and I kind of remember when the field started to shift to taking this line over continuation betting, somewhere in 2014. 

 

If a Q turns, I don’t know or think necessarily villain will assume AK is good and will ck. If they do check thinking it’s good, I can bet and assume the range for calling would be AQ/AK, maybe 77, some pair+gutshot.

If an Ace or King comes, and I’m concerned that villain could spaz with the parts of their range that are beat, wouldn’t it be best to simply not fold, given the SPR being so low? A bet from AK or AQ when an Ace King or Queen doesn’t necessarily mean they only have those hands in their range. and my thought is the pairs probably spaz, and wiith a 1.5spr, I’d need only like 3 hand types to spaz to make it profitable to never fold. 22, 55, 66 is 9. Maybe it’s closer than I thought actually.

I didn’t mean to imply (maybe I said it though. certainly not 100% certain on any of this ever) that villain’s weaker hands would be induced to bluff everytime or at all when I check back, but my thought is if I allow villain’s range on the turn to have as many chances for spazzing as possible, I’ll make more. That’s the same line of thinking when checking back AA on this board right?

Cbetting 6bb into that pot is absolutely perfect IMO and in general would be my preferred line. It’s easy to clean up equity, it’s easy to get it in ahead, bluffs are cheap enough to work with any two, so I can bet with 100% of my range that whiffs.

Villain shoved it in with ducks, and I don’t want to be confirmed to my thought process because I found a hand within the range I guessed, so thank you for your insight.

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