Vill. was running a 25/8 17% call (50% in bb) but only 12 hands on him
and 28 in the whole tourney so far. His flop raised looked strong but he
could have a lot of draws in his range out of the bb partly due to the
fact that a 50/7 player called pre. His turn bet sets up a lil over pot
size shove on the riv if I call so whats our line on the turn? Don't
really like shoving because we get worst hands to fold and better to
call more often then not (Axcc might call, some weird combo draw or
maybe AJ………but this is the $10 ss so could be giving too much
cred.). So what do we call the turn and get it in on non club rivs if
shoved into?Just fold the turn giving the little info? I range him on
the turn to something like this :
JJ,44-33,AJs,AcTc,Ac9c,Ac8c,KcQc,KJs,QJs,JTs,Tc9c,9c8c,8c7c,7c6c,QJo,JTo
i'm 68% vs this? Too wide or narrow?
Full Tilt Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t20.00/t40.00 Blinds – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
Papaderos (BTN): t5355.00 133.88 BBs
blanck (SB): t3905.00 97.62 BBs
onceugodoro (BB): t5375.00 134.38 BBs
hande14 (UTG): t4725.00 118.12 BBs
Hero (UTG+1): t5890.00 147.25 BBs
sixclaude (UTG+2): t4080.00 102 BBs
MINDMITU (MP1): t4035.00 100.88 BBs
LuisanaLopilato (MP2): t6455.00 161.38 BBs
shick_blesk (CO): t4920.00 123 BBs
Pre Flop: (t60) Hero is UTG+1 with Q Q
1 fold, Hero raises to t120, sixclaude calls t120, 5 folds, onceugodoro calls t80
Flop: (t380) 3 J 4 (3 players)
onceugodoro checks, Hero bets t240.00, sixclaude folds, onceugodoro raises to t640, Hero calls t400
Turn: (t1660) 6 (2 players)
onceugodoro bets t840.00
well pre villian is getting 3.5/1 in the BB, so could be holding alot of hands. your bet sizing on flop could be alittle smaller, to get info, because there are some draws out there and possibly sets. now his check raise is just over a pot size bet and gives you 3/1. your getting odds, but looks scary to me. not sure about his donk lead on turn, it is exactly the same sizing as his preflop 3-bet, depends on how capable you think he is. but i smell a set or his 57s got there, really hard to lay down QQ
He could easily have anything including a lot of two pairs. I am pot control just calling turn and river after you just call his flop 3bet.
I think it might be better to 4bet this flop….i think you really find out where you are at but if he 5bets you need to be able to let it go.
Im flat calling turn and maybe calling river again if club bricks and depending on his sizing.
I'm not sure how I feel about 3betting this flop and folding to a 4bet just because I'm not sure hes NOT doing that with AJ and willing to play for stacks. If i'm 3betting this flop its to get it in vs a ton of draws and top pair hands. You have to figure villian cannot 4bet shove AJ on this board in order to 3bet fold and even then theres a ton of draws your ahead of.
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