There are about 20 people left and I am a little titled at this point. I had a 50bb stack about 5 hands ago and lost two flips to ~10bb stacks back to back. The shorty UTG has been very tight and hasn't opened it up with a small stack. The over-shover in UTG+1 has been a pretty standard player.
I figured with the odds I'm getting to shove, and me covering both their stacks, this was a good time to try and put myself into position to chip up FTW.
My question is, is this a fairly standard play, if not how would you play it differently? Keep in mind as well, blinds are increasing again in about 2 minutes (10 min levels).
Merge Network $5,000 Guaranteed NightOwl Freezeout No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t600.00/t1200.00 Blinds + t125.00 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
jouKKs (UTG): BB = 9.2, t11010
wadalawala (UTG+1): BB = 11.4, t13647
CREMEBETWEENZ (UTG+2): BB = 21.8, t26151
OMARTUGGY (MP1): BB = 31.3, t37516
IDareYa21 (MP2): BB = 36.9, t44302
PP2015 (CO): BB = 10.9, t13134
Hero (BTN): BB = 17.8, t21395
PMCGEE (SB): BB = 17.5, t21020
TheGuvNZ (BB): BB = 4.6, t5464
Pre Flop: (t2925) Hero is BTN with J A
jouKKs raises to t11010 all in, wadalawala raises to t13647 all in, 4 folds, Hero raises to t21395 all in, 2 folds
Flop: (t41229) 8 5 K (3 players – 3 are all in)
Turn: (t41229) 5 (3 players – 3 are all in)
River: (t41229) 4 (3 players – 3 are all in)
Fold pre ainec.
UTG guy is very tight, so lets give him a conservative range of:
{AA-22,AK-AT,KQ,Ax9x-Ax8x,KxJx-Kx9x,QxJx-QxTx,JxTx}
Given the stack/position/read on +1 we can expect his range to be no wider then:
{AA-77,AK-AQ,AxJx}
Against this range we have 23% equity.
EV(Rejam AJo from BTN) = .23(+23bb)-.77(10.3bb)=-2.6bb
So shoving here loses you -2.6bb against said ranges, not mentioning the fact there are two players behind that will wake up with a calling range of {JJ+,AK} about 6% of the time.
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