So if I shove, most likely scenario is that both villains call and check it down unless one has a monster. While I don't think this is the optimal play for either one of them, it seems a pretty common pattern for older, live, conservative players. In theory it makes sense for one to re-raise to trap the dead money in the pot and get me alone. But if these players were theoretically sound, it wouldn't be such a profitable tournament. Anyway, in the likely, more passive scenario, the pot will be 117K and I will be up against two strong ranges. If I fold, I will have 29K left. So from a strict cEV standpoint, if my equity in the pot will give me better than 29K, I should shove. Since there's so much dead money from the antes, the break even point is a hand with about 25% equity against their ranges. (29/117).

Obviously the key variable will be my villain's holdings. Given the player type, I assume V1 will have a strong, uncapped range, while V2s range will be strong but probably capped. V2 is less likely to call QQ+ or AKs but he's also more likely to have some medium pairs that dominate me, so something like {99+,ATs+,KJs+,AJo+,KQo} for V1 and {JJ-66, ATs+, KJs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo} for V2. Against these specific ranges I only have 28% equity but that's still a better expected cEV than folding. Of course my range assumptions could be off. The more pairs I put in the villain's ranges and the more unpaired hands I remove, the worse my equity is. If they both have overpairs my equity is only 15%. If one has an overpair and one has AK, my equity is only 19%. But the situations where they both have unpaired overcards, and espeically when those cards are shared are best for me. For example if one has AKo and one has KQs my equity is 42% and in the extremely lucky situation where they both have AQo my equity has 61%.

Folding might get me another $200 in the short-term, but first prize is 24K, so I think it shouldn't be a big factor in my decision.

Weighing all these factors, I think a gamble is justified and probably preferable to a fold. I'm too short and villains are too deep to assume I have much fold equity in the near future.