May 19, 2016
I use pokerstove for Equity Calc.
Pre we have a 56% chance to win giving V a 60% range
Pre V has 3:1 pot odds, I’d call with my full range of hands here.
He also has a lot of Q’s in his range by the range I gave him
Flop a moist colorful board that I believe hits V’s range well.
on Flop the Equity reverses and we only have a 39% chance to win
Once again V has 3:1 pot odds, If I were he I would just call here with strong made hands as my opponent is doing a fine job of betting.
The turns comes out as a card that we don’t like much because it drops our Equity by another 5 %
Checks Through, to the River and we get top pair second best kicker
On the bright side our equity skyrockets to 87%,
We bet and get raised, we fold, I believe this to be the proper play.
The only thing we beat is busted flush/straight draws, most all lower pocket pair, all under-cards.
Making our hand(to me) a bluff catcher. If we knew more about the V we could narrow his range down but from the play and the initial read on V I had to keep him on a 60% range the whole time.
However, I have also been known to call in these spots and chip up nicely, on the other hand I lost my chip stack to the same kinds of hands.
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