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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy confused overpair facing dbet IP

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confused overpair facing dbet IP

almofadinhas

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April 11, 2016 - 5:39 pm

Merge, $3.30 Buy-in (400/800 blinds, 80 ante) No Limit Hold’em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager – The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 22,025 (27.5 bb)
BB: 24,150 (30.2 bb)
UTG+1: 13,920 (17.4 bb)
UTG+2: 14,280 (17.9 bb)
MP1: 65,166 (81.5 bb)
Hero (MP2): 37,090 (46.4 bb)
MP3: 52,320 (65.4 bb)
CO: 32,090 (40.1 bb)
BTN: 22,119 (27.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q diamond Q spade
UTG+1 calls 800, 2 folds, Hero raises to 2,400, 4 folds, BB calls 1,600, UTG+1 calls 1,600

Flop: (8,320) 7 heart 5 club 9 spade (3 players)
BB bets 4,160, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls 4,160

Turn: (16,640) 9 heart (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (16,640) 4 spade (2 players)
BB bets 4,000, Hero ???

V dbet get me confused OTF, what is the range you give V? I give V 99+AJ+, KK and AA very likely to 3bet pre flop tow.

OTT a second 9 hits, and I am thinking he maybe not have 99 for quads now, maybe 9x, TT or JJ slowing down a bit?

OTR V bets soo small that I am more confused lol, does V call with worst if i reraise? what worst?

navinbits

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April 11, 2016 - 7:11 pm

These days, online, I am very wary of small bets. While many times it is to pot control and go for a cheap showdown, I have also seen so many times that someone with a near-nutted hand does this move expecting you to go over the top. Something like a 86s, or any 9. May be I am not noticing the bluff-give-up cheap showdown bets often and the ones that catch my eye are the nutted ones…

theginger45

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April 12, 2016 - 3:47 am

With stack sizes being as they are, it’s a slam dunk raise-call on the flop. Make it ~10k and snap it off, since villain can have a bunch of pair+gutshot/top pair type hands that he’s not willing to fold. You could even just shove flop, I expect villain is calling most of his range.

I guess I understand checking turn if you think villain’s range is mostly 9x, but if you think that, why wouldn’t you raise flop? On river, you can’t possibly fold to such a small bet. Sometimes villain will have a 9 but most of the time you’ll be up against a random JT/T8 or A7/87, or something else. I don’t see a reason to raise river since you only really get called by 9x.

I think you’re probably off the mark including hands like TT/JJ in villain’s range. With only 20bb he would surely want to get them in preflop. The stack sizes are the crucial part of this hand – it’s what makes it essential to get all-in on the flop.

almofadinhas

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April 12, 2016 - 9:32 am

theginger45 said

I think you’re probably off the mark including hands like TT/JJ in villain’s range. With only 20bb he would surely want to get them in preflop. The stack sizes are the crucial part of this hand – it’s what makes it essential to get all-in on the flop.

UTG1 is 17bbs, and BB is 30bb. For 30bbs should I not include TT/JJ for V?

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