Hey all,
Goin through a pretty big down swing where it seems I am always losing when I am a favorite in key situations. Due to four or five sick 2 and 3 outters I am down a G when I could have easily been up 5Gs, it is shaking my confidence. I need a reality check on this situation as I am begining to doubt what I am doin. Tough not to be results oriented when sick beats are around every corner.
3 hands earlier I lost a flip AQ<7s to another 13 BB stack (najden), then this spot came up. Lookin back I probably should have folded or raised the KQc from this position to start, but I didn’t. To me this seems like such an obvious shove spot for the villan even though he had been runnin an 11/7 over 47 hands. Now when faced with this seemingly obvious spot, what do I do? In my book I felt I was ahead of his range, so I made the call. Too spewy?
Merge Network Thursday Evening 109 – $20,000 Guaranteed No Limit Hold’em Tournament – t150.00/t300.00 Blinds + t30.00 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
KippaDrek (UTG+1): BB = 47.9, t14376
Hero (UTG+2): BB = 27.5, t8247
najden (MP1): BB = 26.7, t8020
EyeRaysYou (MP2): BB = 17.8, t5348
Licentiousgenie (CO): BB = 26.3, t7897
ktownace85 (BTN): BB = 44.2, t13251
KeepItSecretandSafe (SB): BB = 36.8, t11040
BIGGERSLICKLEV (BB): BB = 16.6, t4972
HiredKiller (UTG): BB = 21.0, t6303
Pre Flop: (t720) Hero is UTG+2 with K Q
HiredKiller raises to t600.00, 1 fold, Hero calls t600, 1 fold, EyeRaysYou raises to t5348 all in fold around to me, Hero…….
I honestly fold this pre to the UTG open. UTG has 21 bb's so his open appears to be very strong and we only have 27 bb's. I think it's a pretty easy fold actually. But as played after we flat I think it's horrible to be calling this shove. You say you think you are way ahead of his range? How so? He is NEVER shoving a worse K so at best we are flipping. Seems like a good spot for him to make a squeeze but actually it's really not based on the info we have… UTG opened with 20 bb's (looks strong) then villain ships 17 bb's in MP with 4 people to act behind him (not including UTG) which looks really strong as well. So based on that info I think it's really an easy fold. I would stay away from situations like this however by just folding pre. That seems pretty nitty but based on stack sizes and the action in the hand I def think it's the way to go. Pre flop action = Fold>3b>call
rip it in pre instead of flatting…
you only have 17bb, once you flat pre now you only have 15bb, whith such a huge hand flatting and folding to a squeeze is going to be a bad idea, and once someone squeezes your not going to have tons of FE and likely will have to hit a K or Q (no worries its stars nuts u win)….
usually with this stack size i am open ripping about all of my hands, and oncee someone opens it gives you the perfect spot to pile it in and pick up 4.5bb if everyone folds, this increase to your stack is OVER 25%,
this is a huge boost to our tourney life, even if someone calls we are in good shape to play a 60/40 vs the majority of their range
and i disagree with preflop J LUDE, i htink fold>pile>call….i hate 3 betting here personally, i am either folding or piling, if you 3 and SB or BB 4 you are sick, i would rather just ship it in OTP with my KQ if i was gonna play it here, its def a lot of BB to ship in but it eliminates everything the poeple behind you can do, and it also guarentees nobody gets funky with an AJ type hand…are you really ever 3 bet folding this hand anyways?
other than that i def agree with ur line analysis assuming both players in the pot are compitant, if the guy who jammes 17bb is a complete fish it could def still be a squeeze imo and i may be calling it off, but if both are compitant this is never a squeeze based on stack sizes looking uber strong
Jlude…….Don't you think that in many regards the UTG spot is the *new* button. I have seen it SOOO often where people are opening super light from UTG…..simply because they shouldn't be light and it shows sooo much strength. I am to the point now where I do not give UTG the tight range I use to, especially when I am playing against thinking players.
As far as the squeeze play, from what I have seen I assume these players are compitent and I know that they know they should be shoving their entire range with his 17 bb stack for all the reasons shawn described.
I think he would be jamming 77+,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,A9o+,A5o-A2o,K9o+,QTo+,JTo+.
OkieNGa said:
Jlude…….Don't you think that in many regards the UTG spot is the *new* button. I have seen it SOOO often where people are opening super light from UTG…..simply because they shouldn't be light and it shows sooo much strength. I am to the point now where I do not give UTG the tight range I use to, especially when I am playing against thinking players.
As far as the squeeze play, from what I have seen I assume these players are compitent and I know that they know they should be shoving their entire range with his 17 bb stack for all the reasons shawn described.
I think he would be jamming 77+,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,A9o+,A5o-A2o,K9o+,QTo+,JTo+.
i feel like the UTG being the button thing has come and gone already for the most part, that was happening well before Black Friday even, i think UTG ranges are tightening up again (while UTG+2 ranges may by loosening in my expeiriances)….while i think it could def be light sometimes i think id have to know a lot more about the villians to want to call this off based on these stack sizes…..if original opener had 30bb and this guy piled 17bb i think i am calling it off fwiw, but with these stack sizes im a little more careful and may lean towards the nit side of this one
shawnivey said:
I think he would be jamming 77+,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,A9o+,A5o-A2o,K9o+,QTo+,JTo+.
i feel like the UTG being the button thing has come and gone already for the most part, that was happening well before Black Friday even, i think UTG ranges are tightening up again (while UTG+2 ranges may by loosening in my expeiriances)….while i think it could def be light sometimes i think id have to know a lot more about the villians to want to call this off based on these stack sizes…..if original opener had 30bb and this guy piled 17bb i think i am calling it off fwiw, but with these stack sizes im a little more careful and may lean towards the nit side of this one
also if you dont want to call off to a jam, i prob 3 bet fold this, flatting the min raise pre is basically just induces a squeeze jam imo
Not that it matters since I was checking my line…………but here are the results. As you can see he was even weaker than I thought he could be……
Pre Flop: (t720) Hero is UTG+2 with K Q
HiredKiller raises to
t600.00, 1 fold, Hero calls t600, 1 fold, EyeRaysYou raises to t5348 all
in, 5
folds, Hero calls t4748
Flop: (t12016) A 3 J (2 players – 1 is all
in)
Turn: (t12016) 8 (2 players – 1 is all
in)
River: (t12016) 6 (2 players – 1 is all
in)
Final Pot: t12016
Hero shows K Q
EyeRaysYou shows
3 K (Pair of
Threes)
EyeRaysYou wins t12016.00
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