November 4, 2013
Good morning,
I realize this is an SnG question being posted in an MTT forum section. Is there another place I should be posting this?
In any case, here is the very good puzzle hand. It's the bubble (3 left) in a 6 max SnG, for just 2 dollars. I'm newly trying to play more honestly within my bankroll, as has been suggested to me by various videos and forum chats. I have noticed that I'm not fearing the aggression that is necessary (as much) anymore. Here it's just another bubble of another small SnG, and the villains are:
Draegon57, the small stack, seems like a pretty good player. 34/20/7.7 and hasn't shown me much in the way of tells after 48 hands. So far he's folded to every Cbet but that doesn't mean much here as this is a push fold situation.
HoldemHigh1, the large stack, in the big blind, is a call station. 44/8/0, open limping 37%, not restealing once after 70 hands.
2 players are paid and the small stack just doubled up within the previous few hands.
Merge Network Turbo – $2.20 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t100.00/t200.00 Blinds + t20.00 – 3 players – View hand 2374381
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
HoldemHigh1 (BB): BB = 28.9, t5778
Hero (BTN): BB = 9.8, t1966
Draegon57 (SB): BB = 6.3, t1256
Pre Flop: (t360) Hero is BTN with J K
Hero?
Thank you for your opinions in advance 🙂
April 29, 2013
Schwartz,
This is a clear shove to me. You've got a great chance to just take it down, bringing you up to 11.5bb's, and Draegon down to 5bb's.
Your KJo is about 45% vs two randoms. Against their likely calling ranges:
vs. Holdem with a 33% calling range (22+,A2s+,K7s+,Q8s+,J9s+,T9s,98s,A2o+,K9o+,QTo+,JTo,T9o,98o) you're 47% to win
vs. Draegon with a 46% calling range (22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q8s+,J8s+,T8s+,98s,87s,76s,A2o+,K2o+,Q8o+,J9o+,T9o,98o,87o,76o) you're a 53% favorite
You're the first to act, blinds could have anything, shove it.
Thanks for the post,
Wacky
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