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Bovada 100k - Post flop analysis please
madpenguin12
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April 20, 2015 - 4:54 pm
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I wanted to see what people thought about this hand. I feel like I could have played it better and want to discuss maximizing value when you have the nuts.

Here is the hand: 40/80 blinds Hero is in the cutoff with 8,806 chips (chipped up nicely early on). Villain (raiser) has about 5,089. 

 

UTG+4 (right before me) raises to $188 or about 2.5X  

I call in the cutoff with A3 spades for $188.

Button calls. 

SB folds. 
BB Calls. 

Pot size: 792

 

4 Players to the Flop (BB, Raiser, Hero, Button):  2KQ, 2 spades (K and 2 were spades).

BB checks, Original raiser bets 400 into 792 or about half pot.  I call.  Button and BB Folds.  There is now 1,592 in the  pot.

Turn:  9 of spades (I hit the nuts).  There is 1,592 in the pot.  Original raiser bets 844 or a little more than half pot again.  I simply called.  At this point I'm thinking he has AK or KJ or maybe I am giving him too much credit since he raised right before cutoff.  After his bet there is 2,436 in the pot, and my call makes the pot 3,280.  He has 3,627 left and i have 7,374 left.

 

River:  2 of club.  Absolute blank.  He checked.  I shoved (feels terrible).  My thinking (or lack thereof) here is that if he had a hand like AK or AQ, he could be bluff catching me at this point.  Perhaps he would have bet more on the flop to protect his hand.  If he didnt have at least a K or Q, he is probably folding anyway.  I tried to make it look bluffy by just shoving all in

In hindsight, I think I could have raised the turn to build a bigger pot (he bet $860 to make it 2,420 in the pot). But if I raised him on the turn, he only had 3.6k after his turn bet and I could have given him a chance to just shove over the top.  I think a raise on the turn would probably have been better but I wanted to hear your thoughts on this hand.

So again, I went with checking to his turn bet hoping he would fire that last bullet (About a pot sized shove on the river).  Instead he check and folded.  So should I have just bet about half size pot or half of his remaining chips on the river, a little less? or was my crazy looking shove okay there?  This is 100k on bovada so it is a little better in play, but this was still early in the tournament and many not so great players running around.

 

Thanks, 

Madpenguin 

wager9
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April 20, 2015 - 5:20 pm
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I don't hate a shove here. Assuming you have no read on your opponent, I would think his range after the turn consists of at least a pair, maybe even KQ. I also think he could be in there 2 barreling with an underpair about as often as he has KQ. So I would probably bet a touch less on the river, maybe 1/3 pot, but I think shoving is fine as well. It is probably better to shove if you would also do this with bluffs or hands that V thinks he can beat you with. If there are no reads, however (in either direction – like you don't know about him and he doesn't anything about you) I'd likely value bet smaller.

madpenguin12
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April 20, 2015 - 5:26 pm
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Yep, not much of a read.  His sizing was not out of line so it told me he's not a terrible player…but that's about all I had on him.

Foucault

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April 20, 2015 - 6:41 pm
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Couple things:

1. Not wild at all about the pre-flop call. Should be 3-bet or fold, usually fold, IMO. This hand is a good illustration of why. Even when you make the nuts, which of course will happen very rarely, you still have trouble winning a big pot. You really can't afford to play this “slot machine” style of poker where you just call-call-call trying to make hands and then hoping to get paid on them.

2. Would you ever actually bluff here on the river? If yes, with what? If no, it's awfully optimistic to assume that a shove will “look bluffy” since it would never actually be a bluff.

3. I like just calling the turn. The only reason not to would be if there were a lot of money behind and you needed to build a pot.

madpenguin12
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April 20, 2015 - 6:49 pm
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Thanks.

 

1) I rarely play A3 type suited hands unless I am on the button or cutoff like this case and see if I can make the nuts.  The 188 cost which is about 2.5x in position seemed like a small price for a raise, but I suppose in most cases I'm just calling with a decent amount of my chips and missing a flush and not flopping 2 spades often.  With about 110 bb preflop isnt it worth taking this risk to continue to chip up? I guess this is something I see the big dog do early in tournaments especially in position.

2) Good points here.  Not sure what I could be bluffing with unless I'm a terrible player.

3) In this spot, I raised in an effort to build a pot.  Where you would you draw a line between raising and just calling in this particular scenario (e.g. how many chips behind would each of us have to have in order to raise vs. just call).  I suppose a call on turn may have increased the likelihood of him betting the river.  If he was on a high spade draw (Q of spade in this case) he would still call a small raise and give up on the river unless he bluffed.  If he has K or KQ he's not folding to a small raise here either.  

 

Thanks again for the help, 

MP

ltcolumbo
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April 21, 2015 - 12:37 pm
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1.  Ok with the Call with Axs on the button pre ante when deep (yeah, bigdog play there).

2.  as stated above, quite often at this level, you are not going to get paid on the river as it will rarely be viewed as a bluff (especially a shove).

3.  I prefer a turn raise and here's why:

a.  It allows Villain the opportunity to put you on a K or an Ace of spades or even AKo with the Ace of Spades and if he flopped better than that, you might stack him. 

b.  a fourth spade will kill your action, as might the board pairing if he flopped 2 pair.

c.  I expect to get less credit for my raise in levels 1-3 than later in the MTT.

madpenguin12
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April 21, 2015 - 5:49 pm
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Thanks man, appreciate your post.  I agree that I should have raised the turn here in order to build a bigger pot and give him an opportunity to re-raise me.  Action killers as well and a third bullet if he missed his draw is unlikely.  a 4th spade will also kill action since I hold the A of spades which means he doesnt.

Foucault

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April 21, 2015 - 8:09 pm
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madpenguin12 said:

Thanks.

 

1) I rarely play A3 type suited hands unless I am on the button or cutoff like this case and see if I can make the nuts.  The 188 cost which is about 2.5x in position seemed like a small price for a raise, but I suppose in most cases I'm just calling with a decent amount of my chips and missing a flush and not flopping 2 spades often.  With about 110 bb preflop isnt it worth taking this risk to continue to chip up? I guess this is something I see the big dog do early in tournaments especially in position.

2) Good points here.  Not sure what I could be bluffing with unless I'm a terrible player.

3) In this spot, I raised in an effort to build a pot.  Where you would you draw a line between raising and just calling in this particular scenario (e.g. how many chips behind would each of us have to have in order to raise vs. just call).  I suppose a call on turn may have increased the likelihood of him betting the river.  If he was on a high spade draw (Q of spade in this case) he would still call a small raise and give up on the river unless he bluffed.  If he has K or KQ he's not folding to a small raise here either.  

 

Thanks again for the help, 

MP

1. You shouldn't be calling just hoping to make the nuts/any strong hand unless it's a set. Poker isn't about making strong hands. It simply doesn't happen often enough, and when it does, you aren't likely to win a big pot anyway. Unlike a set, a flush is not at all concealed, so unless you get REALLY lucky and go flush and over flush, your implied odds really aren't huge. If you're going to play the hand at all, better to play it aggressively and let making the nuts be the back-up plan.
3. You said you called the turn…. Anyway, to answer your question, I'd consider raising if stacks were deep enough that it were necessary to get stacks in. Here, there's only one PSB left in stacks after you call, so you don't really need to worry about building the pot.

madpenguin12
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April 22, 2015 - 9:10 am
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Thanks. That makes sense. I have to play it more aggressively and plan on bluffing with it in order to make it more profitable (perhaps 3-bet preflop and take it down at that point).

folding_aces_pre_yo
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April 22, 2015 - 7:31 pm
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Intresting comments above.

 

I don't really 3-bet that often in the early stages tbh (pre antes) does anyone here 3-bet a bunch in the early goings?

Foucault

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April 23, 2015 - 6:49 pm
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“I don't really 3-bet that often in the early stages tbh (pre antes) does anyone here 3-bet a bunch in the early goings?”

Yes.

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