this is from the 25k $55 on bovada

 So I ran some numbers for the turn; if we treat him as basically going all in, we need 36.7% to call off; if he occasionally does this w QQ+ (4 out of the 18 combos) and then I gave him all 44/TT and two of the 88 combos out of 3, we have 38.1%. So how confident are you that ppl are massively overplaying QQ+ here around 22% of the time (i suppose he could have some other bluff, but I don’t even know, maybe like Ah5h?)

Side question; should 22 even be a raise here on the flop this deep w such a dry board?

PokerStars – $50+$5|10/20 NL – Holdem – 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 246 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
SB: 242.5 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
BB: 316 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG: 250 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG+1: 251.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP: 250 BB
MP+1: 249.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP+2: 199 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
Hero (CO): 256.75 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has  2 2

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 3 BB, MP+2 calls 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (12.5 BB, 4 players)  4 2 T
BB checks, MP+1 bets 6 BB, MP+2 calls 6 BB, Hero raises to 18.25 BB, fold, MP+1 calls 12.25 BB, MP+2 calls 12.25 BB

Turn: (67.25 BB, 3 players)  8
MP+1 checks, MP+2 checks, Hero bets 35.6 BB, MP+1 raises to 100 BB, fold, fold

MP+1 wins 138.45 BB