Poker Stars, $1 Buy-in (20/40 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players

Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager – The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 1,595 (39.9 bb)

BB: 2,000 (50 bb)

UTG+1: 1,888 (47.2 bb)

Hero (UTG+2): 3,830 (95.8 bb)

MP1: 3,810 (95.3 bb)

MP2: 2,105 (52.6 bb)

MP3: 3,392 (84.8 bb)

CO: 1,065 (26.6 bb)

BTN: 4,315 (107.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with Kd Qc

UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to 100, MP1 folds, MP2 calls 100, MP3 folds, CO calls 100, 3 folds

Flop: (360) 3h Qs Jc (3 players)

Hero bets 180, MP2 calls 180, CO calls 180

Turn: (900) 4s (3 players)

Hero bets 300, MP2 calls 300, CO folds

River: (1,500) As (2 players)

Hero bets 440

A $1 buy-in on Pokerstars. We have already chipped up nicely. Playing 24/17 with 2.7AF.  Opened KQo in UTG+2. Flatted by MP2 (23/7) who has been very passive post flop. I think his range is fairly wide but not ridiculously so. Maybe AJ-A8, broadways, some of the better connectors, 22-TT. Cut off (30/17) calls and his range is probably a fair bit wider, with some random broadway-rag suited hands thrown in.

The flop is ok with top pair second kicker although lots of straight draws out there. Half pot c-bet is called by both and on this board multiway I presume they have something.  The cut off calls scares me a little as he is short so wouldn’t be surprised at this point to see him with at least a queen. I think I can rule out QJ for both of them as that probably raises. Sets would raise but only 33 is possible I think. So I think we’re looking at hands like TJ, AJ, KQ, QT, KT, T9 etc.

The turn is 4s putting a flush draw out there. For some reason I bet third pot. I think I was a bit lost here and didn’t know how to play it out of position, and I don’t think my hand does much, although it does define their hands better: with a flush draw, if no one raises, I am certain I am up against a draw or a one pair hand. So is betting better than checking? But it also turns my hand face up as one pair I think.

The river is As. I see no point in betting as I wasn’t representing the flush draw on the turn. I don’t think AQ is in his range. KT got there, KJs. But I don’t think he has many flushes because both the As and Qs are on the board. KTs and KJs are the only flushes I think he can have. Maybe T9s which I let in on the turn with my small bet.

I think I made a mistake then in betting because what am I getting value from? The villain shoves pretty quickly. This is where I got stuck. As I say I think flushes are unlikely. I don’t think sets are shoving here, although again I think 33 is his only set (maybe 44 if he floated the flop but I doubt it 3-way). Would a two pair really shove for value? After all, given how I’ve played my hand, AJ/AQ are definitely potential holdings for me which could be better than their two pair.

So my thinking was it is a straight/flush or a bluff. What would you do here?