August 10, 2014
A $5 Bovada MTT.
Felt a little impulsive in the moment on the river, this is how I would play Jx I think?
May need some help on donking and other bet sizing.
PokerStars - $5+$0.50|150/300 Ante 30.00 NL - Holdem - 8 players Hand converted by PokerTracker 4 MP+1: 3,340 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5) CO: 4,020 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7) BTN: 23,472 (VPIP: 25.93, PFR: 11.54, 3Bet Preflop: 28.57, Hands: 27) SB: 6,030 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 5) Hero (BB): 14,730 UTG: 14,501 (VPIP: 14.81, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 27) UTG+1: 4,378 (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 27) MP: 9,385 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14) 8 players post ante of 30, SB posts SB 150, Hero posts BB 300 Pre Flop: (pot: 690) Hero has Q 9 [color=red]UTG raises to 600[/color], fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 300 Flop: (1,590, 2 players) 2 J J [color=red]Hero bets 795[/color], UTG calls 795 Turn: (3,180, 2 players) T [color=red]Hero bets 1,444[/color], UTG calls 1,444 River: (6,068, 2 players) 2 [color=red]Hero bets 6,068[/color], [color=red]UTG raises to 11,632 and is all-in[/color], fold,
September 14, 2014
pretty sure your flop bet is fine (could go a bit larger ), turn you're going to have to make it larger for sure , i'd say around $2500 (or more) to set up a nice river shove, so total pot on the river now would be just over 8k. Another way to play this hand is to check back turn for a free card and bet river whether u get there or not. However i reckon the 3barrel is better, to get v to fold maybe a hand like AA/KK/QQ/TT, think it's pretty difficult for v to call with those hands if you shoved river. Even betting river its dificult for those hands to call , though i do wonder what shows more strength, betting river or shoving?
September 14, 2014
@EvilKermit , when v flats hero donk leads otf and turn that dont mean we cant figure out our opponents range just because he calls. I mean yeah being OOP we have less information however that don't mean we cant figure out their range. villians range does seem marginal i.e pocket pairs, when they just call flop and turn. Yes they may turn up with strong hands from time to time but i dont think they will that often. i just reckon they are highly discounted as they would likely raise those on the turn. Though If they have a hand like AJ they may decide to flat turn as they block combo's of diamonds or if they had JT for a boat.For the most part though i reckon villians range will consist more of marginal hands rather then monsters.
oo yeah getting a free card is not possible as hero is OOP , my bad lol.
September 14, 2014
@EvilKermit, I do agree that you can range better when you check yeah. tbh i don't donk lead much , but i've been looking into it more lately. Donk leading can be good against straight forward players that tend to give up when they don't get a piece of the flop which is around 34% of the time, against more aggressive players donk leading is not a good idea.
vs aggro players you're probably going to have to 3-bet flop when faced a raise and go for a double/triple barrel bluff , so higher variance right? It's interesting though , because against aggro opponents we are going to need to construct value/bluffing range when we lead out flop. It would be rather exploitable if we were only going to lead out with our value hands.
An example yeah, an opponent (readless) raises it up from like EP/MP and the flop is like 4c7h8s and we call from the bb we could donk lead with a hand like KsJs , if the turn is say K we could bet for value again and re-evaluate river. Hero also has backdoor opportunities so we could barrel a lot of turns too. This is a good flop to donk lead , this flop is likely to hit our bb calling range rather then a ep/mp open.
now if we had a read that v is aggro , they may very well have a hand like 59s, 45s 76s, 78s, 56s, T9s TJs ect ect , so we may get floated more often then not or even raised to otf or ott. my question is if we think v range consist of draws and random bluffs, would 3-betting flop be a good idea with a hand like KJs? i don't think its that bad if we really do think their range consist of those hands we also could bet/shove a turn depending on effective stacks, Though I'd much rather prefer 3-betting a flush draw against an aggro opponent (if there was 2 suits down on the flop) rather then King high as then we do have more equity , which is kinda counterintuitive as our hand should not really matter if we think v range consist of draws and air , its not like v is going to call a 3-bet with their airballs! anyways i reckon it would be nice to have some back up equity just in case we are called , so yeah our hand does matter to a certain degree.
thoughts?
September 14, 2014
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
As others have said, sizing is the biggest issue here. You don't generally want such a dramatic difference between the % of pot you're betting on each street, no matter what your hand is. That said, I don't think this is a spot to have much of a donking range. There are so many good turn cards for your hand that you can just check and call. You may even have the best hand!
September 14, 2014
i really dont understand as to why we shoud not have a donking range in this spot t? Is it because if we are faced with a raise we have to fold a decent hand with good equity?
You also said that our hand may be good , against an UTG opener, that dont seem likely imo. If we do donk lead we can put a lot of pressure on v , if they have hands like AT/KT or overpairs..we also lose against k high and ace high..so i dont think we have much STD really.
September 14, 2014
September 14, 2014
nice work 🙂
so there’s not much difference in cEV+ between c/c or c/r , both very close. I would of thought c/r would be better though as we at least have some fold equity when we raise. as for c/c it’s profitable for sure but its’ just that if we’re going to get a flop like this shouldnt we be trying to play our hand fast? so c/r flop and shove turn for instance?
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
folding_aces_pre_yo said:
nice work 🙂
so there's not much difference in cEV+ between c/c or c/r , both very close. I would of thought c/r would be better though as we at least have some fold equity when we raise. as for c/c it's profitable for sure but its' just that if we're going to get a flop like this shouldnt we be trying to play our hand fast? so c/r flop and shove turn for instance?
First off, I misread the hand and thought we were dealing with a LP raise, you are right that Hero is pretty damn unlikely to win unimproved at showdown if he k/c flop.
The problem with c/r all of your flush draws is that you're in no position to balance this and will be exploited by opponents who either bet-call wide or who check back well (though, as others point out, this may be a good exploitive play vs opponents who c-bet too wide). Villain has a significant range advantage here as an UTG raiser, which is why Hero shouldn't be able to get away with a lot of check-raising and doesn't have a strong interest in donking.
K/c the flop doesn't have to mean forfeiting the opportunity to play aggressively. You can still bluff the river if the turn goes k/k, or k/r the turn.
September 14, 2014
Nice post andrew.
few questions i have for you, if thats okay 🙂
How wide do you think hero's bluffing range should be in this spot? I'd say a number 1 , from what i remember that's the best bluffing candidates like combo draws.
You said that the problem with c/r all your flush draws is that you're in no position to balance this. does that mean you dont have much of a c/r range here with your value hands like Jx as you're not c/r with your bluffs that often either? so basically you'll be c/c with your draws , and maybe c/r the turn with it just like you would do with your value hands. The thing is with your value hands you may c/c flop and turn and lead out river which you may do with Q9dd. You may decide to make a modest bluff otr to get hands like KQss to fold, i mean a bet of 1/3 of the pot would only need to suceed 75% of the time for it to be profitable. hope that makes sense lol.
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