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bet river or check back with our monster hand?

folding_aces_pre_yo

High Stakes Mario Kart Propping

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February 1, 2015 - 9:25 am

PokerStars Hand #129717490726: Tournament #1118958557, $5.00+$0.50 USD Hold’em No Limit – Level I (10/20) – 2015/02/01 14:11:00 CUST [2015/02/01 9:11:00 ET]
Table ‘1118958557 251’ 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: MitoRay (3345 in chips)
Seat 2: VinceEnfield (2800 in chips)
Seat 3: 301114 (3120 in chips)
Seat 4: PanchoSuper (2415 in chips)
Seat 5: Vollack (2865 in chips)
Seat 6: maureese502 (3355 in chips)
Seat 7: london_acee (2975 in chips)
Seat 8: ailinx (4190 in chips)
Seat 9: shakey1710 (1935 in chips)
Vollack: posts small blind 10
maureese502: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to london_acee [Td 9d]
london_acee: raises 20 to 40
ailinx: calls 40
shakey1710: folds
MitoRay: folds
VinceEnfield: folds
301114: folds
PanchoSuper: calls 40
Vollack: folds
maureese502: calls 20
*** FLOP *** [K diamond 3 diamond 5 diamond ]
maureese502: bets 170
london_acee: raises 340 to 510
ailinx: folds
PanchoSuper: folds
maureese502: calls 340
*** TURN *** [8 heart ]
maureese502: checks
london_acee: bets 595
maureese502: calls 595
*** RIVER *** [6 heart ]
maureese502: checks
london_acee: ??

hey

no reads.

I was unsure if i should bet river , only hand i can see getting value from is Kx at the best , i was kinda worried if v has stronger flushes in his range?

do we bet or check back?

folding_aces_pre_yo

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February 1, 2015 - 9:28 am

Also i forgot to add – I Just don't think v will have sets in his range , he would of probably got these in on the flop. So he's either got marginal hands or monsters (which he's slowplaying) , obv he could have missed draws by the time we get to the river, but he ain't calling with his airballs when we bet river anyhow

Foucault

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February 1, 2015 - 10:46 am

I've given you advice in other threads about how to determine how thinly you can value bet. If you try to analyze this spot with that in mind, I can give you some feedback on how you do.

folding_aces_pre_yo

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February 1, 2015 - 2:39 pm

okay, so here are my thoughts below.

V leads out (in a multi way pot) his range is going to be somewhat strong , 33/55 are in his range he could also have k5/k3 aswell , when hero raises and v just calls i discounted these hands. So what hands is he going to call with? imo flush draws and some Kx like AK/KQ/KJ.

anyhow the turn does not change anything, on the river their range seems still marginal + the missed draws. we could go for a small ish bet otr just less then half the pot to get value from kx.

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