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bet flop or check on wet flop with 2ed pair and BDFD?
folding_aces_pre_yo
High Stakes Mario Kart Propping
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May 18, 2015 - 3:13 pm
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#Game No : 534725879
***** 888poker Hand History for Game 534725879 *****
$15/$30 Blinds No Limit Holdem - *** 
Tournament #69047162 $2.70 + $0.30 - Table #24 9 Max (Real Money)
Seat 10 is the button
Total number of players : 8
Seat 1: Groo66 ( $2,970 )
Seat 2: All.W.Out ( $2,935 )
Seat 3: biker371 ( $3,075 )
Seat 4: xiongqian1 ( $2,881 )
Seat 5: hesal ( $2,480 )
Seat 7: london_ace ( $1,881 )
Seat 9: Wulgurukaba ( $2,947 )
Seat 10: invadermax ( $2,910 )
Groo66 posts small blind [$15]
All.W.Out posts big blind [$30]
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to london_ace [ 9diamond, Adiamond ]
biker371 folds
xiongqian1 folds
hesal folds
london_ace raises [$60]
Wulgurukaba calls [$60]
invadermax folds
Groo66 folds
All.W.Out calls [$30]
** Dealing flop ** [ Jclub, 9heart, 8diamond ]
All.W.Out checks
london_ace bets [$97]
Wulgurukaba calls [$97]
All.W.Out folds
** Dealing turn ** [ Tdiamond ]
london_ace ???
 
 
 
 
Hey
 
 
 
No reads.
 
 
I have trouble with these kinda situations. I like c-betting here so i can just take it down
but on such a wet flop i think i'm getting called quite often but that don't nessercely mean i should check. There's some good turn card that i can barrel which includes a diamond for instance. When we get to the turn , villian could have a straight
a hand like QJ or KQ could have easily got there , though they could also have Jx type of hands (or worse)which i could put in a tough spot by the time we 
get to the river.
 
i'd like to hear your thoughts on this hand and i find this hand to be very intresting, on whether you like c-betting flop or checking and also if you like barreling
turn or if u prefer checking or perhaps betting flop and c/f turn , if the turn ain't a good card for us.
 
 
cheers
 
 
emb
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May 18, 2015 - 5:02 pm
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I think cbetting the flop is fine.  You can get value from draws and some worse pairs.  With that turn card I think I just check back for a free river.  I don't think betting achieves much – it's possible you might get a J or T to fold but the benefit of that is outweighed by the possibility of getting check raised off your draw.  Re-evaluating on the river but mostly folding if a non-diamond comes and he leads out.

 

emb

folding_aces_pre_yo
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May 18, 2015 - 7:21 pm
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villian is IP , you've read the h/h wrong , no big deal. Hero is oop , so when we get to the turn and we barrel i agree we can be faced with a raise , maybe a hand that does not have good showdown value may turn their hand into a bluff to represent a straight , its possible. Though with our hand i dont think we have much showdown value , so i actually don't hate betting and if villian calls , i reckon most of their range would be rather marginal which would include hands like AJ/KJ/JT , because if villian had a straight they'll likely raise turn , though some players may decide to just call , which makes it tricky when we go the river. I think for the most part though if v does call turn most of their range would be marginal which can allow us to fire river and get villian to fold the best hand , we also do have decent equity and can improve otr. I'm not to sure how wide our bluffing range should be in this spot , which makes me question if this hand is a good enough bluffing candiate for this.

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May 18, 2015 - 8:11 pm
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Without reads I dont think a cbet is profitable on this board in a multiway pot. Once youve done it, a barrel on this turn is ok, check/calling is ok too. Give up on any river that does not improve your hand.

Foucault

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May 18, 2015 - 11:21 pm
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Against tougher opponents capable of floating, bluff-raising, etc., there's a case for checking. The weaker your opponents, the more I like just making a straight-forward value bet on the flop.

Turn is a bit tricker. I like the idea of turning your hand into a bluff, but I don't think there's any sense in betting once and giving up. The vast majority of Villain's range will be either straights, two-pair, or pair plus draw such as KJ. The latter two will generally call one and may or may not fold river unimproved, and a 7 may or may not fold river but I can't imagine folding turn. So just betting turn and then giving up doesn't seem to accomplish much.

If you don't think many of those will fold to a double-barrel, then check-call. FWIW I'd consider bluffing any board-pairing river if Villain bets turn, or bluffing blanks if Villain checks back turn.

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May 19, 2015 - 9:08 am
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Foucault said:

If you don't think many of those will fold to a double-barrel, then check-call. FWIW I'd consider bluffing any board-pairing river if Villain bets turn, or bluffing blanks if Villain checks back turn.

Well yes, I see where youre coming from, but in my experience, particularly at microstakes most of the players who wont fold their mediocre holdings to two barrels wont fold to a third barrel either and probably most of those might not even consider the implications of a paired board, so I think its -EV

folding_aces_pre_yo
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May 19, 2015 - 12:18 pm
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yeah i was thinking the same thing andrew , if villain checks back turn their range wont consist of monsters more so marginal hands like KJ/AJ , which we may be able to get villain to fold on blank river or even if the board pairs. hero could of easily checked turn with a hand like 88/99/JJ (sets) or maybe even a straight and we now can be value betting river representing monsters hands. I think we have more monsters in our range rather then villain does as well. for villain to check back turn really does indicate that they don't have monsters in their range which will allow us to bluff a fair amount otr as our hand does not have enough STD. I wouould also like to add that i doubt villain will turn a hand like AJ into a bluff , because if they wanted to bluff they would of likely done that on the turn , so when we do get to the river we could put them in a tough spot with those type of hands.

even if the river is a jack i still think bluffing is OK , villain may very well fold a hand like trips Jx here too and i reckon thats what the top of their range would look like IMO. 🙂

folding_aces_pre_yo
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May 19, 2015 - 12:26 pm
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hmm kinda weird though because if villian floated flop with JT , and checked back their two pair on the turn (which sounds about right they would have rivered a full house otr which we are not going to get fold, however i reckon their range would also consist of many hands which we can get to fold for our bluff to be profitable which will include marginal hands or at best trips which i would also consider marginal.

folding_aces_pre_yo
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May 19, 2015 - 12:44 pm
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i never wanted to post the action on the turn and river because i think my line on the river is terrible LOL. I'd like to know your thoughts on my play. I decided to shove river , for like 4 times the pot or something. Ingame i thought to myself well villian could have checked back turn with a straight , though now i realised that their range consisted more of marginal hands , so a better play would of been to just bet like 1/3 of the pot to get a call from those hands , pretty much giving them good odds on the call.  I also think that if the river was lets say :2heart: , i really should be over shoving here as a bluff just like i did here with the nuts and i'm pretty sure andrew would agree with that.

 

what i also question is what would u guys do with your two pair type of hands otr , like 98/J9s? i may decide to b/f river or maybe even b/c as i really don't think villian will be checking back straights ott so when they do raise river it would not make any sense. Though i just dont think many players will have the balls to raise this river as a bluff so maybe the best way to go is to b/f with your two pair type of hands because if we check they'll only likely check back their weaker marginal hands like KJ/AJ. 

 

how about c/c river though with your two pair hands? that dont sound great imo because i reckon v will be checking back hands that have decent showdown value. so ya b/f seems best , right?

 

** Dealing turn ** [ T
diamond
 ]
london_ace checks
Wulgurukaba checks
** Dealing river ** [ 2
diamond
 ]
london_ace bets [$1,724]
Wulgurukaba folds
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