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There are 15 left in this 4500 runner tournament. UTG is 25/25 AFq: 100 over 24 hands and had been opening more pots from early (2/5) and middle (3/6) position. I felt really happy getting it in here against him as I felt I was well ahead of his range. However, when UTG+1 (16/10 AFq: 60) flats (he's flatted 1/24 hands and that was from the blinds) I'm pretty sure his range is pretty tight, especially since he has a 23.1BB stack. Can you ever fold AQo here? UTG+1 is getting 2.1:1 to call my shove if I do go for it so he should definitely be calling. I can't see myself being ahead here, but is it a good time to race? Hmmm…
Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t15000/t30000 Blinds + t3750 – 8 players
Hand Conversion courtesy of Tournament Poker Edge
Hero (BTN): BB = 13.1, t393820
SB: BB = 29.8, t893278
BB: BB = 16.0, t479005
UTG: BB = 31.3, t939979
UTG+1: BB = 23.1, t693168
MP1: BB = 31.5, t943801
MP2: BB = 14.9, t447192
CO: BB = 14.6, t436911
Pre Flop: (t75000) Hero is BTN with Q
A
UTG raises to t90000, UTG+1 calls t90000, 3 folds, Hero???
It is definitely a push or fold scenario, no calling here. The UTG+1 call is a little scary considering he should be restealing with his stack size, it is possible he is trying to trap one of the small stakes who might push or even trap a larger stack who could try a squeeze. Due to your stack size I am pretty sure at least one of them will call you and in that case I think you are probably racing with a mid pair or even large pair from the UTG+1. I would probably fold and hope to steal the blinds in the next couple of hands and look for better spots where you can be the initial aggressor.
June 11, 2010
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The second guy in on this one scares me a ton. I think I fold and look for a new spot.
lespaulgman said:
The second guy in on this one scares me a ton. I think I fold and look for a new spot.
I actually think in a 2 dollar tournament most flats in this spot don't mean too much. I probably shove because of the added money in the pot. You increase your stack a significant amount if they both fold.
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