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AQ in MP2 - line analysis (big dog style)
OkieNGa
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May 3, 2012 - 3:23 pm
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All,

    I am going to post a few hands in a few threads but in a different way.  I want to look at it from the point of view of the opponent, therefore the opponent is the Hero and I am the villan (the hand history reflects this, I have changed the hands and hidden mine but show the now hero's hand).  I want to analyze what my line, the villan, looks like and if I am repping what I want.

 

Merge Network Tuesday Evening 109 – $20,000 Guaranteed No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t/t120.00 Blinds – 8 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

Hero (MP2): t4640.00 38.67 BBs
CO: t6573.00 54.77 BBs
BTN: t5520.00 46 BBs

Dead small

BB: t4100.00 34.17 BBs
UTG: t5105.00 42.54 BBs <——Actually me
UTG+1: t5015.00 41.79 BBs
UTG+2: t3581.00 29.84 BBs
MP1: t4862.00 40.52 BBs

Pre Flop: (t120) Hero is MP2 with Q of diamonds A of spades
Hero raises to t300.00, 3 folds, MP2 raises to t480.00, 3 folds, Hero calls t180

Flop: (t1080) Q of hearts A of hearts 8 of hearts (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets t600.00UTG raises to t1655.00, Hero calls t1055

Turn: (t4390) 9 of clubs (2 players)
UTG bets t2970 all in, Hero……..

 

pettman18
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May 3, 2012 - 5:35 pm
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Hero presses the call button.

FkCoolers
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May 3, 2012 - 6:56 pm
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If I'm holding AQo it looks to me like you have the naked Kh or something like KKh or AKh – you're just applying way too much pressure for a flopped flush unless it's a baby one that doesn't want a 4th heart coming. 

Since I know you raised UTG I'm tending to rule out small suited connectors anyway and I am looking you up almost 100% of the time here.

bennymacca
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May 3, 2012 - 7:29 pm
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meh if someone flops a flush i usually just pay him off

duggs
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May 3, 2012 - 9:27 pm
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you dont have KK cause you wouldnt flat a min 3bet especially 5 handed

made flushes (both babies and KJhh K10hh J10hh 910hh etc., AKh KhQ JhQ 88 JhJ Jh10 J10h, 1 combo of QQ if you didnt 4bet it.

Tiny_Molester
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May 3, 2012 - 10:03 pm
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Against your flop check-raising range, AQo has 44.2% equity meaning he can profitably call flop and then turn. The check-raising range I have is KTs, KJs, JTs, T9s for a flush, 88 for a set, AQ for 2 pair, AJo with the J of hearts and Kh-Broadway for a semi bluff. I really don't expect you to show up with a hand outside of this range.

 

A few things to note in this hand:

 

MP2 has click 3b you with AQo. This is an instant note-take to help you hand read this opponent in the future

You have a capped range by not 4-betting the villian.

The pot odds offered on flatting the 3b are approximately 15%. When you flat out of position the hand will become very difficult to play so you need to have a plan of what you are going to do on different kind of boards. If you cannot construct a profitable plan for playing OoP then perhaps folding is the best option.

Once MP2 calls the flop bet I don't believe he ever folds a hand in his range on this particular turn

OkieNGa
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May 4, 2012 - 11:24 am
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I had 4diamond4heart.  He took a LONG time to call the flop bet, time banked, whole nine yards, so I felt pressure would get him to fold, but I was way wrong.  He snap called my shove……I got lucky and was saved by the river.

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