TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
I would just call his initial river bet.
“Doubt villian is putting me on a Q”
I don’t see any justification for this. When you raise the river, you’re either bluffing or you have trips. In fact, I’m not sure your hand is strong enough to make the first raise for value, given your poor kicker. When he three-bets the river, I think you should fold. What would he do that with that you beat?
December 30, 2015
Why check behind on the turn?
If we bet turn and V donks the river than we can just call to catch bluffs since anything we beat wouldn’t call a raise and most marginal hands just check again, not lead. The board is pretty dry on the river. Mostly sets and boats (over-pairs being very unlikely with just a flat from the blinds PF OOP).
If we bet the flop and get a call then the turn is our best chance to continue getting value from hands we beat. Sure the line as-played might induce more bluffs and thin value bets on the river, but that is trading some near-certain value now for a chance at some value later.
As played we hand over the betting lead. Keeping it we might get a chance to check. It isn’t easy to check-behind the river with trips (I’m not sure I find a check here, though I’m working on getting to that place after thinking it though in this post). It is also hard to get 3-streets of value on this board from something worse. Maybe if the river was an off-suit A or K for a potential missed-draw-out.
December 30, 2015
almofadinhas said
joelshitshow said
But why not bet the turn?MovieFX said
Why check behind on the turn?Most of the range we are beating, and trying to get value from will not call another barrel on the turn, afraid to have to call a 3rd barrel on the river. Sure you get some calls from flush draws, but I am not sure that is a big part of V´s range. Low PP will check turn, then bet or check/call a bet on river, maybe even some A high. Busted flush can bet river as bluff, since hero show weakness OTT.
Most of the range we are beating are draws though aren’t they? So by not betting the turn you lose 100% of the value from people chasing draws and give them a free card. For all other hands, the turn card either doesn’t change the board texture at all, or in the case of A4s and A5s actually improves it, so if someone called the flop they really should call the turn too.
I think checking the turn requires a more specific read than betting it. If you can specifically target only lower pocket pairs, then sure, checking is great, but I don’t think that is possible reliably. I also like to have some hands I double barrel for value to balance.
almofadinhas said
Most of the range we are beating, and trying to get value from will not call another barrel on the turn, afraid to have to call a 3rd barrel on the river. Sure you get some calls from flush draws, but I am not sure that is a big part of V´s range. Low PP will check turn, then bet or check/call a bet on river, maybe even some A high. Busted flush can bet river as bluff, since hero show weakness OTT.MovieFX said
… It isn’t easy to check-behind the river with trips …I don´t think it is a check OTR, I think will be a raise for value, guessing a small raise for value, because of the V´s range is not that strong, and fold for a big reraise.
What specific hands are you targeting for value if checked to on the river? What would be your sizing?
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