Home
(0 votes) 
If you were to go all in 100 times and was ahead 100 times vs 2 random cards, is there anything to say how many hands on average you would win?
Hope that makes sense 
May 30, 2012
Offline
how much are you ahead?
if you are 40% favourite you win 40
35% favourite you win 35, bearing in mind you need to win 33% to be even chances 3 way.
85% favourite you would win 85 times
Well KK vs 89, AK vs Ax. The amount of times ive trapped players Ax when i have AA and they there rag card on the flop and we get it all in and they hit trips.
I ask about the all ins only cause i lose more times than i win when i go all in and im ahead
October 6, 2010
Offline
Well KK vs 89, AK vs Ax. The amount of times ive trapped players Ax when i have AA and they there rag card on the flop and we get it all in and they hit trips.
I ask about the all ins only cause i lose more times than i win when i go all in and im ahead
Sorry to be blunt, but no, you don’t. In the shirt term this may be true but not in the long term.
The best advice I have heard about this is that you will run worse than you ever thought possible, AND THEN IT WILL GET WORSE. And the most humbling but about that is you are not special, it will happen to everyone.
When you are running bad, look over your game, try and plug your leaks, and make sure you are playing within your bankroll. If you do those things, and you continually work in your game, it will get better. I was down around 100abi for the first 4 months of the year, and as it stands now I am up around 250abi. It will turn around, if you are good enough to beat the stakes you play.
Hope that helps.
July 7, 2012
Offline
1) Try to remind yourself that if you are getting it in good and getting sucked out on then at least you are playing well.
2) Each hand is an individual event i.e. previous hands have no bearing on the outcome of the currnet hand so if you are a 60/40 favourite in an all in situation 10times and lose all 10 this is not entirely unrealistic, but over a 1000 hands you should be profitable.
3) Try not to rely on all in situations to build your stack, if you can steadily build your stack without showdown, you can take a couple of hits and still be in. But then you have to keep your head after the beat. Something I have noticed in BigDogs vids that he does after a beat or losing a big pot is that he immediately verbalises the positives of the situation that he is in eg I still have 45bbs and room to work, I'm still in the top 50 of 400 remaining, my table image is now xxx – rather than dwelling on the beat or the mistake that lost him the pot. I think this is very powerful for the mindset going forward. Then he gets back on the horse and carries on playing his game.
You also need to track these things over a good enough sample size to make that statement. We remember the bad beats and not the wons we win. Stay focused and dont pay attention to the bad beats, brush it off.
June 1, 2012
Offline
Although it seems this way, I check my poker tracker results sorted by starting hands played over a good sample size and it always tells me the true story. When I look at the amount of chips won with these strong hands like AK, QQ+ it will always be in the positive. Again you have to check over a good size and not just the last week:)
It’s almost like flying an airoplane in a storm without an artificial horizon. Feels like you’re upside down but are really the right way up.
This is why it’s so important to have something like HM or PT even if you don’t use the HUD.
Most Users Ever Online: 2780
Currently Online:
47 Guest(s)
Currently Browsing this Page:
1 Guest(s)
Top Posters:
bennymacca: 2616
Foucault: 2067
folding_aces_pre_yo: 1133
praetor: 1033
theginger45: 924
P-aire 146: 832
Turbulence: 768
The Riceman: 731
duggs: 591
florianm1: 588
Newest Members:
Tillery999
sdmathis89
ne0x00
adrianvaida2525
Anteeater
Laggro
Forum Stats:
Groups: 4
Forums: 24
Topics: 12705
Posts: 75003
Member Stats:
Guest Posters: 1063
Members: 12008
Moderators: 2
Admins: 5
Administrators: RonFezBuddy, Killingbird, Tournament Poker Edge Staff, ttwist, Carlos
Moderators: sitelock, sitelock_1
