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AKs good fold?
m@ddm@n
Balla
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September 20, 2012 - 9:23 am
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Soz for this lengthy post with lots of info.  I want to see what people think of my play on each street if possible.

Vs same dude as last post (in bb). He's 36/6 over 64 hands, me 13/10.  Other 2 limpers are pretty bad with 42/0 and 63/25.  

Still about 12 off $.

Phantom sb BTW.

My raise size pre was based on my std raise of just under 2.5x + 1bb extra for each limper, to fold some of them out.  (In case anyone's wondering, I'm opening to 3x early and approx 2.45x mid-late stages at these stakes when deep because it folds out a lot of calling stations and stops 4+ ways flops.)

I just flatted post to give myself the option of reevaluating if the BB shoved as I feel I've got a decent edge in this tourney without risking 40 bbs on a flip or even vs a big draw.

On his turn shove I tanked for a while and checked his stats which show his flop bet @44% and that he donks with TP or better. (He also has a FCB of 83% which is prob irellevant in this case.)  His turn bet is only 17%(1/6 times.)  My thoughts were the same as on the flop where I don't want to take a marginal flip or risk vs a big draw at this stage when I think I have an edge.  I very rarely try to put someone on an exact hand but really felt he has AJ here a heap of the time from the way he played previous hands.  He also def has KQ in his range.

I know this is a yes or no for the fold but am also hoping for some comments on how I played this hand on each street with my reads and these dynamics, if anyone has the time 🙂  I can post results later if anyone wants.

Revolution Gaming Network - $10+$1|50/100 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 1,603.00
MP+1: 3,699.00
CO: 2,300.00
Hero (BTN): 7,696.00
BB: 8,501.00
UTG: 2,567.00
UTG+1: 4,030.00

BB posts BB 100.00

Pre Flop: (pot: 100.00) Hero has  Adiamond Kdiamond 

fold, fold, MP calls 100.00, fold, CO calls 100.00, [color=red]Hero raises to 445.00[/color], BB calls 345.00, MP calls 345.00, CO calls 345.00

Flop: (1780.00, 4 players)  Tdiamond Kclub Qheart 
[color=red]BB bets 890.00[/color], [color=red]MP raises to 1,158.00 and is all-in[/color], fold, Hero calls 1,158.00, BB calls 268.00

Turn: (5254.00, 3 players)  2club 
[color=red]BB raises to 6,898.00 and is all-in[/color], fold


duggs
nz
Playing The Prelims
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September 20, 2012 - 10:04 am
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preflop is fine, flop is kind of gross we beat virtually nothing v BB gii range, its almost worth folding to flop bet. 
ok with folding turn, its like AK KQ AJ Q10 J9 K10 here, and we are never good. 
If i thought he was decent there would be alot more combos in BB range but this line is super unbalanced and crushing us
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