This is a Bovada $11 SuperStack event that started at 14:45 on a Tuesday.  There were 902 players, I ended up taking 20th.  This hand is about 3 hours into the mtt.

Villain in this hand is UTG.  I have 13 hands tracked on him.  His stats are 38/8/0 AF 1.0.  Not a big sample, but these are the 3 hands I saw him play.

1.  From EP he has limp called a 2bb raise, then check raised to take it down.

2.  The next hand from UTG he limp folded to my MP raise of 3.5x.

3.  Then he open raised to 3x from EP and check folded the flop to a BUT player.

Hero has been active since this player sat down.  I have played 5 of the last 13 hands.

1.  2x raise from LP, won pot.

2.  Very next hand, 2x raise from LP, won pot.

3.  2 limpers (one of them villain) I make it 3.5x, villian folds, other player calls.  Opponent check folds to my cbet.

4.  B vs B, I check my option and fold to sb bet on flop.

5.  BUT limps, I am in sb w/ 88 and I shove, bb and BUT fold (they both had 15bb).

So neither of us has shown down a hand.  Now we are at the hand:

Blinds:  1600/800/160 – 8 handed

Hero: 72818 / M=19.8 / 45.6bb

Villain 60982 / M=16.6 / 38.2bb

Villain: Limps UTG – 1600

Hero: Raise AK MP – 4444

Action folds to Villain and he Calls – 4444

Pot – 12568

Flop: 3 7 8

Villain checks and Hero cbets – 5555, Villain calls – 5555

Pot – 23678

Turn: K
Villain checks again, Hero bets 11111, Villain calls

Pot – 45900

River: 8

Villain: bets 18136

Hero: ???

Villain now has 21736 behind, or 13.5bb

Hero has 51780 behind, or 32.4bb.  If Hero calls and loses I will have 21bb.  If I call and win I will have 84bb.

What do you guys think?  Thank you for your responses