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AK Approaching the Bubble
swet1
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January 26, 2011 - 10:45 am
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Opp. was 62/38/29 but stats are only from 13 hands.

Open and c-bet which I felt was standard, although I didn't like the flop

What should I do on the turn….fire a second barrel? 

Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t400/t800 Blinds + t75 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

MP2: BB = 31.2, t24967
CO: BB = 48.8, t39001
BTN: BB = 21.5, t17169
SB: BB = 37.7, t30183
BB: BB = 27.9, t22316
UTG: BB = 24.9, t19954
Hero (UTG+1): BB = 29.7, t23782
UTG+2: BB = 34.3, t27475
MP1: BB = 26.7, t21356

Pre Flop: (t1875) Hero is UTG+1 with K of spades A of clubs
1 fold, Hero raises to t1840, 3 folds, CO calls t1840, 3 folds

Flop: (t5555) J of diamonds Q of spades 9 of clubs (2 players)
Hero bets t3200, CO calls t3200

Turn: (t11955) K of clubs (2 players)

 Hero ??????

ytseshred
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January 26, 2011 - 12:46 pm
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That flop and turn smash his LP calling range I think.  Also, the flop cbet is a little on the high side, why go over half pot when you're OOP against a big stack and the board is that scary?  I'm not comfortable playing a big pot on that board unless a 10 comes.

I don't think I bet the turn, since you'll be committed – folding after a turn bet would likely leave you under 16bbs, and if he shoves you puke on the keyboard.

cookthirty
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January 26, 2011 - 1:20 pm
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I agree, this is not a board that you want to c-bet a large percentage of the time with your stack size.  Maybe fire one shell on the turn if he checks back the flop.  This board just hits his range way too much.  He does have enough chips to float your flop bet, but unless you have a specific read on him you will be wasting chips.  I would try to check it down or spike a 10.  I think even if you hit a K or A he will still be ahead a large percent of the time.  You have plenty of chips to fold and wait for a better spot, no need to put yourself in a bad situation by firing a second barrel oop into an opponent that is unlikely to fold or may even raise you on the turn.

slimb0
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January 26, 2011 - 2:06 pm
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Agree, I think its a check/fold. Your really not ahead of much (if anything??) and its kinda hard to give someone credit for floating you planning to take it away on further streets in a $2 mtt. Pretty unfortunate.

bennymacca
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January 26, 2011 - 6:28 pm
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i dont really know what hands villain flats the flop with that you beat, KQ,QT, JT, 9T just got there, AQ is about the only hand you now beat and that board sucks for AQ, who is now likely to check it down with you. 

 

i would be checking it down with the intention of folding to any bet

Polaris
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January 26, 2011 - 8:51 pm
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Extremely unlikely a worse hand calls a turn bet. Equally unlikely a better hand folds.

flgtb786
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January 27, 2011 - 1:07 pm
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Check call, you've picked up nice show down equity as well as that broadway draw. With the chance you could be behind to a straight or whatever there's no need to bloat this pot.   

bennymacca
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January 27, 2011 - 5:31 pm
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im really not sure we have that much showdown equity here 

 

i cant think of a hand that bets for value that we beat, AcJc or AcQc arent even there because we have the Ac

flgtb786
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January 27, 2011 - 5:48 pm
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Air is a good one to bet, I'd be calling the majority of his bets since K>QJ9 and your drawing to short of the nuts and its a $2 tournament. 

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