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(0 votes) 
May 30, 2012
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I'm 3rd in chips at this point with the cl having 300K with around 17 left there's only 2 other good regs in the tourney and he's one of them. Do you ever make this call to bust this guy,soften the tourney and seemingly breeze to the ft ? I think you can eliminate JJ+ weighting him heavily to hands like 1010-99 with a small chance of him showing up with AQ. There's also the issue of players to act behind me. …..g/?6629351
Also if utg raised I don't even consider playing this fwiw.
TPE Pro
September 28, 2012
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Seems like a pretty striaght forward fold barring some crazy reads. As an excercise, even if you assume veryone folds behind you, you can easily calcualte the range he needs to shove. I will show this to you.
1 BB lip, 1 BB for Big blind, .5 Bb for small blind, 1 BB in antes(this is my standard estimate to make math easier), 20 BB shove. Thats 23.5 BB and you have to call 20.5, 20.5/(23+20.5) = 47.5%. Just messing around a little in stove here are soe ranges and your equity:
10% – 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,AJo+,KQo You are 46.4% so still not enough equity.
11% – 77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,ATo+,KQo You are 48%, So you do have a small edge on this range. But I doubt many people ever are going to come clsoe to this range in this spot.
For Coaching - ccuster911@gmail.com - HH Reviews/Leak Finder(HEM or PT)/Concept Discussion
November 7, 2013
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Wow, I took the time to think about the hand before posting and I was thinking it was a call.
Just found a leak then.
May 30, 2012
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I think I made the call just b/c I wanted to knock this guy out faulty thinking for sure. It turned out it was a flip against 10 10 but very unnecessary.
TPE Pro
September 28, 2012
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One thing I forgot to mention was that although you do have a small edge against that 11% range, this is assuming everyone behind folds. Which wont happen when they have QQ+, and the guy limping utg(unless he is a mega fish), should throw up some hazard lights for you. He could easily be trapping.
@ Phoebus: The reason this is such a tight range for us here is because we are calling cold. AJs could feasibly be in our calling range here if we opened and got shvoed on(although probably still a fold), because we will be getting MUCH better odds. If we min raise to 2 BBs here(ignore limper), there are 2.5 BBs from blinds and antes, 2 from his call and 18 from his shove over top. thats a total of 24.5 BBs and we only have to call 18. So we only need 18/(18+24.5) = or 42.4%. Which is drastically different. We are 42.436 against 8% or 88+,ATs+,KTs+,QJs,AJo+
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