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AJS oop
m@ddm@n
Balla
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September 20, 2012 - 8:37 am
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I strongly felt that this was a fold pre at the time and wanted to see what the concensus is?  My reasoning was that if I don't flop the nuts it going to be a very difficult spot if an A hits.

Villian is 36/6 over 64 hands. I'm 13/10 but doubt he would even notice this. SB very fish but 16/11 over 118 hands.

Revolution Gaming Network - $10+$1|100/200 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 6,360.00
BTN: 2,185.00
Hero (SB): 6,503.00
BB: 3,944.00
UTG: 2,642.00
UTG+1: 19,199.00
MP: 4,587.00
MP+1: 8,230.00

CO posts ante 20.00, BTN posts ante 20.00, Hero posts ante 20.00, BB posts ante 20.00, UTG posts ante 20.00, UTG+1 posts ante 20.00, MP posts ante 20.00, MP+1 posts ante 20.00, Hero posts SB 100.00, BB posts BB 200.00

Pre Flop: (pot: 460.00) Hero has  Aspade Jspade 

fold, [color=red]UTG+1 raises to 400.00[/color], fold, fold, fold, fold, 
ShortStackJack
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September 20, 2012 - 9:47 am
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He plays pretty tight by his stats, so it's likely from this position he has a pretty good hand. I still think it's worth seeing a flop with AJs, though, especially with only the BB left to act. I'd fold to a BB squeeze, I think.

JLUDEOBV
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September 20, 2012 - 3:35 pm
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Can't imagine ever folding here. We are 32 BB's effective with AJs facing a min-raise from early position. I'm flatting here all day. I think our post-flop play is good enough to play OOP here anyways. Perfect spot for BB to squeeze. If he does and I know he's capabale of doing so with worse I snap him off.

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MediaBLITZ
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September 20, 2012 - 4:26 pm
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I’m a little confused by I’m 13/10 but doubt he would even notice this. SB very fish but 16/11 over 118 hands.

Are’t you the SB?  You mean BB?

But nevertheless – yeah you are flop worthy.  Not sure why its even close.  Yes you are out of position, but apparently the villain has a pretty broad range.  Is the whole table playing as tight as you and your other reference?  If that is the case and with villain’s chip surplus he can min-raise from anywhere with anything all day long and be +EV if everyone is steering clear with AJs.

 

Any idea on how he responds to a 3-bet?

m@ddm@n
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September 20, 2012 - 11:12 pm
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MediaBLITZ said:

I'm a little confused by I'm 13/10 but doubt he would even notice this. SB very fish but 16/11 over 118 hands.

Are't you the SB?  You mean BB?

But nevertheless – yeah you are flop worthy.  Not sure why its even close.  Yes you are out of position, but apparently the villain has a pretty broad range.  Is the whole table playing as tight as you and your other reference?  If that is the case and with villain's chip surplus he can min-raise from anywhere with anything all day long and be +EV if everyone is steering clear with AJs.

 

Any idea on how he responds to a 3-bet?

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Yep I'm SB soz.  Villian does have a very narrow PRF raising range being 6 (even though it's only 64 hands but that's my read as well.)

I don't want to 3b as he will just call it every time based on my read. Plus 3-betting would make us <30bbs effective OOP so I would say it would have to be a 3b shove which I'd rather not do vs his range.

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