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I marked this hand for review in PokerTracker, but never actually reviewed it, so no reads although PokerTracker is saying SB is 20/9 over 93 and BB is 18/6 over 33 (3bet 6% 1/16). I'm always confused with AJo facing a 12-20BB shove as I'm pretty sure it's not doing particularly well against most opponent's range.
Full Tilt Poker Super Stack $10K Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t600/t1200 Blinds + t150 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
SB: BB = 13.1, t15702
BB: BB = 14.4, t17307
UTG: BB = 11.0, t13169
UTG+1: BB = 14.9, t17914
UTG+2: BB = 21.1, t25292
Hero (MP1): BB = 45.7, t54826
MP2: BB = 17.9, t21473
CO: BB = 84.8, t101743
BTN: BB = 33.8, t40605
Pre Flop: (t3150) Hero is MP1 with A
J
3 folds, Hero raises to t2712, 3 folds, SB calls t2112, BB raises to t9600, Hero ???
July 3, 2010
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I fold here. If he shoves I probably re-shove to isolate.
Obv. you're not folding him out and I think his 3 bet is to induce action so I give him credit for a pretty strong hand here. His stats don't indicate he's a creative player so doubt it's a level on his part to make his hand look stronger than it really is.
TPE Management
March 17, 2010
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Yeah, people don't do this with AT or worse and your really need some hands you dominate in his range to make it profitable.
If he shoves instead of just raising half his stack do you still call? I just can't see him doing this with AT or worse so it has to be a fold, right? There would be 23931 in the middle if he shoves and you'd need to call 14445, which means you need 1.6567:1 or 37.64%. Versus 22+,AJ+ we're 37.983% so it's just a call, but a very marginal one at that. I don't think he's ever shoving anything that we dominate here so it has to be a fold… I always have trouble opening AJ versus 12-20BB stacks. AQ I raise with the intention of calling, but I just find AJ such a difficult hand to play versus these stacks.
July 3, 2010
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With your stack size I'd reshove ISO – I think you're flipping a lot against a jam and may also be ahead some times against a hand like A9s or ATs etc… I think those show up occasionally. KQ, too.
Even if you lose you still have 31 bb's and I really do not think the SB has much going on here.
If I don't think villan is doing this with worst I fold. I understand the idea behind “with so many chips in pot…”, but and a big butttt is this range is 77+ so you are only flipping vs. 2 hands and crushed vs. TT, JJ, QQ, KK, AA, AK, AQ, AJ, and chopping vs. AT. Even if you expand it down to 22+ I still think I'm folding.
If I close the action it's a much easier decision, but with the SB still in the hand and flatting a pretty high % of his stk I get out now.
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