December 30, 2015
No Limit Holdem Tournament PokerStars
7 Players
$4.00+$0.40
Blinds 300/600 7
UTG Casey & Kyle 19,434
UTG+1 CarzR7 20,888
MP WILL-IAM8998 30,730
CO WarleyBruno 41,558
D Hero 5,974
SB elton1185 31,635
BB metallicafa1 32,216
7 1,390 Hero is BTN A A
3 folds, WarleyBruno raises to 1,200, Hero calls 1,200, 1 fold, metallicafa1 calls 600
3 4,390 4 6 5
metallicafa1 checks, WarleyBruno bets 2,450, Hero goes all-in 4,704, metallicafa1 calls 4,704, WarleyBruno folds
2 16,248, 1 all-in 2
2 16,248, 1 all-in Q
Hero shows a pair of Aces A A
metallicafa1 shows two pair, Fives and Fours 5 4
metallicafa1 wins 16,248 (net +10,274)
WarleyBruno lost 3,720
Hero lost 5,974
I almost never make this play but V1 was playing aggressive the last couple of orbits from what I saw (stats were 33/19, 10% 3-bet, 100% c-bet, 33% fold to c-bet, 50% fold to 3-bet, tiny sample of just 42 hands, so more based on table flow). I figured I was short enough that a call created a very small SPR so I could easily shove any flop and might get a c-bet where I might not get a call preflop. It all went perfectly except for the BB call. Since I don’t know what V1 had I don’t know if he would have just called a PF shove.
Did I over-think this situation? I feel like I did or I wouldn’t be positing, still. I’m, I can’t help but think a PF shove wouldn’t have taken down a pot that would have only bumped me to ~14BB
Should I be shoving 100%?
Maybe min-raise just to discourage the BB? It would look fishy or nutty, but anything more probably just looks nutty. Either way V1 would probably have come along but maybe not c-bet as often since I’d have taken the betting lead.
I’m not sure it matters all that much, but according to PT4’s equity calculator I had ~72% equity preflop against V2’s hand and “random” for V1. On the flop I still had ~20%.
August 20, 2015
Shoving pre looks a lot weaker when you got these 10 bigs. BB has a decent stack and is getting great price to call minraise but will only call shove with a ‘good’ hand which you of course still have crushed. I’m happy to shove pre and get it all in against raiser or raiser & BB.
Like the other poster said, if he has anything remotely decent he will call your 10BB shove.
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