May 19, 2016
I use PokerStove for hand range percentage.
With this hand Pre-flop it was bet the same way I would have bet it with a raise and a call before me.
With AA pre
against a single opponent with a 59.6% range (That’s what I put him/her on) or (22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T3s+, 95s+, 85s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, A2o+, K3o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o)
we have an equity of 84.774%
I believe the pre-flop action was good!
Pot: $1960
I gave the V an extra wide range as it is early in tournament and he/she is experienced as these types of players often play a little loose in beginning play to pick up chips from more inexperienced players they see a weakness in.
You looking up this player before/during game will influence your play against him/her. If it was looked up afterwards this isn’t a factor.
Flop:
376
Once the flop comes out our equity only changes by -0.597 or an equity of 84.177%
with this flop for me not a lot has changed. We have a runner runner nut flush draw and two over cards to the board.
Hero bets $900 Pot $2860
V raises by $1699 + $900 = Pot of $4559
Hero must put in $1699 to play
that’s 2.7:1 pot odds
V has put in $3239 total
making an effective stack of $877
His large flop raise leads me to believe he has a large pocket pair, however, I still put him on a 28.4% range of hands or 66+, A4s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, also a possibility still exist he has a straight or flush draw with smaller suited connectors. This also increases his/her hand range from 28.4% to over 60%
It canbe play in one of three ways the first being my personal preference:
1. A 4 bet non shove, like $7585 will show your willing to dedicate your stack with out actually doing it, and will get the the same results as the above and risk less. If he goes all in, call, and you’ll still have 32.6 BB left if he wins. That’s not the desired result but it’s poker, it happens.
2. Not what I would do, but, Shove making him/her go through a meaningful decision. I believe you’ll get a fold, but if not, I think you’ll have his pocket pair or draws dominated.
3. Not what I would do, but, a call is a possible choice.
What do ya all think?
Cheers,
JP
May 19, 2016
JupiterRocks said
…
It canbe play in one of three ways the first being my personal preference:1. A 4 bet non shove, like $7585 will show your willing to dedicate your stack with out actually doing it, and will get the the same results as the above and risk less. If he goes all in, call, and you’ll still have 32.6 BB left if he wins. That’s not the desired result but it’s poker, it happens.
2. Not what I would do, but, Shove making him/her go through a meaningful decision. I believe you’ll get a fold, but if not, I think you’ll have his pocket pair or draws dominated.
3. Not what I would do, but, a call is a possible choice.
What do ya all think?
Cheers,
JP
almo replied:
1 and 2 I am not a big fan of, since V will fold all his bluffs this way, and leave hero to handle his monster hands/monster draws.
3 I like better actually, but not to reevaluete, if I call flop i am probably not folding this hand for a shove on later street.
If we’re not folding to a shove on later street (where he could have drawn cards to be us), I believe 1 is a better option, this early in the game we’ll collect over 3K of his chips if he folds a semi-bluff rather than playing it and drawing out on us on later streets.
JupiterRocks said
…
against a single opponent with a 59.6% range (That’s what I put him/her on) or (22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T3s+, 95s+, 85s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, A2o+, K3o+, Q5o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 87o)
…
Almo replied:
Sorry, I still think your ranges are too wide
I use to narrow my ranges down quite a bit, but after watching the vids on TPEU and seeing what our fearless leaders (Pros) play, when and where (their all different of coarse) I’ve learned to broaden my ranges. For instance, BigDog Pre 3 bet 4/5 off (in similar position) then called a re-raise pre, then bet on flop and took down the pot, it was mid-tourney though not beginning. V could easily be betting the way he/she is with top pair (for instance 8/7o) just as well as a semi-bluff with two Broadway cards.
JP
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