February 8, 2017
$215 WCOOP: BUT and SB both playing a relatively LAG style over 140 and 250 hands respectively, both players have blocked stats. I’ve seen BUT make some spewy plays and think he is probably a losing reg, while I strongly suspect that SB is a good winning player. SB seems slightly less aggressive/less sticky post-flop than average LAG reg, but that may be sample bias.
Preflop decision is most interesting to me, but Flop is worth discussing so I’ll include it in ‘spoiler.’
PokerStars – 200/400 Ante 50 NL – Holdem – 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Blom21 (UTG+1): 99.25 BB
parperinio (MP): 177.92 BB
cre0x (MP+1): 80.08 BB
vova vovkin (MP+2): 95.9 BB
anti-durrr (CO): 127.4 BB
NastyMinder (BTN): 105.04 BB
Graftekkel (SB): 138.77 BB
EatMyFish (BB): 100.29 BB
Anjeyyy (UTG): 107.91 BB
9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Graftekkel posts SB 0.5 BB, EatMyFish posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.62 BB) EatMyFish has 9 9
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, NastyMinder raises to 2.15 BB, Graftekkel raises to 7.5 BB, EatMyFish ?
EatMyFish Raises to 19.3 BB, fold, Graftekkel calls 11.8 BB
Flop: (41.87 BB, 2 players) 4 9 K
Graftekkel checks, EatMyFish ?
Effective SPR is just under 2
TPE Pro
December 6, 2012
Great spot to ask about. Against a nitty SB fold or call are both OK, but against a good player I think a smallish 4b is in order, your sizing is good. It’s OK to have a mergey range here because although you’ll sometimes fold the best hand to a 5b from AK, you’ll also sometimes get peeled by hands where having 99 is a lot better than having A4s or something (not that A4s would be a bad hand to do this with, just that you don’t want to be strictly nuts/air when you do it).
Flop is a perfect spot for a small (~25% pot) c-bet with your range. With such a low SPR, even nut hands like this one don’t need to make big bets to get stacks in by river, but you do want to bet something just to deny free cards to gutshots and backdoor flush draws. Likewise hands like QQ can get some value and protection with this sizing, A4s is happy to get some cheap fold equity, etc.
TPE Pro
August 25, 2012
Foucault said
Great spot to ask about. Against a nitty SB fold or call are both OK, but against a good player I think a smallish 4b is in order, your sizing is good. It’s OK to have a mergey range here because although you’ll sometimes fold the best hand to a 5b from AK, you’ll also sometimes get peeled by hands where having 99 is a lot better than having A4s or something (not that A4s would be a bad hand to do this with, just that you don’t want to be strictly nuts/air when you do it).Flop is a perfect spot for a small (~25% pot) c-bet with your range. With such a low SPR, even nut hands like this one don’t need to make big bets to get stacks in by river, but you do want to bet something just to deny free cards to gutshots and backdoor flush draws. Likewise hands like QQ can get some value and protection with this sizing, A4s is happy to get some cheap fold equity, etc.
Agree with all this. I think this is a really interesting spot because of villain’s likely merged SB 3-bet range – there’s some advantage to being poled here with our 4-bets if we can fold out a bunch of good equity hands, but also an increase likelihood of being peeled preflop instead of 5-bet.
If we do decide to have some cold-calling hands here, I think we have to size bigger with our 4-bets as our range gets more polarized. It seems like a choice between a strategy of merging our 4-bet range to include hands like 99, removing our flatting range and 4-betting to a sizing of around 19bb as we did, or adding some more cold-calls, polarizing our 4-betting range and 4-betting to more like 23-25bb. I think both strategies are valid, and the former might be slightly higher since it avoids the weird multiway 3-bet pot scenario where you’re stuck in the middle.
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