March 8, 2013
This is from the Poker Maximus 3, a $10 tourney with a 30K GTD. Starting stack is $5000, I'm down to 2850. I have villain at VPIP/PFR/AF of 21/11/2.5. In 75 hands, I have gotten allin twice over multiple streets of betting. The first time with flopped trips against my opponent's overpair, where I bet aggressively. The second time I was against the big blind and floated his donk bet on an AJx 2-tone board with QT, called the T on the turn, as well as the Q river which completed a backdoor flush draw. For whatever that's worth, as far as villain's image.
There will be follow-up posts for future decisions.
I'm having some problems with the hand history converter, but I was on the BB with 2650 after having paid the 200blind. Villain open-limps in the small blind, and I have to decide what to do. He has me covered handily.
Preflop I considered four options. I can check and see the flop for free. The advantage is there are many favorable flops and I have position on an aggressive opponent,
so keeping the SPR high allows me to give up cheaply or win a large pot potentially. Second and third options are to raise anywhere between the minimum and the pot. Specifically,
betting the minimum helps me build a pot which I can later play profitably in position, while raising the pot would leave me with about a 1.2-pot shove on the flop, which I
would plan to take on 80% of flops. The last option is just to jam. I normally take this line with any 2 (except QQ+) if I had 7-12BB, where I think a limping small blind will fold to
your shove often enough that this shove is too profitable to waste. However, with 14BB I'm not sure if it's worth it. I do believe it's probably +cEV, but not by much.
What do you do?
P.S. Not so subtle brag, I won this tournament and will have a number of very interesting hands coming up, including some very strange and interesting ICM decisions at the final table.
August 31, 2013
Hi,
My standard is to just shove preflop. Your image is important in this kind of situation, if you are running 8/5 shoving is probably the better play, if you are running 50/45 maybe it's better to just X and shove a lot of flop vs his bet (FD, open ended, gutshot, TP, etc…).
Considering it's a re-entry, Im shoving really wide here if I am you. If I lose, then I am immediately buying back in which would effectively double your stack by just getting the original buy in stack back. With the re-entry you are increasing your cost basis but I will take an increased cost basis with twice the stack or shoving and doubling any day of the week considering the compounding of chips over the course of the tourney. If you asked me if I would do this in a $215, the answer would still be yes. <<<<Said like a true spew.
Not to mention your stack is not really big enough to play post flop unless you flop a hand. Your hand strength PF is not an edge, but you are only a slight underdog to most hands with the exception of 66+, 97+, 106+ and a lot of those hands are not calling you anways. Your edge here I think is in shoving PF
February 18, 2013
Assuming pot is 400, if you shove and if he is calling with anywhere up to the top 35% of his hands it is +EV to shove. If he is calling wider than this then you are moving out of +EV territory, but I'm not sure I see him calling wider than 35%. If I do shove when I have 7-12BB I'm also including QQ+ in my shoving range.
This aside I'm not against checking to see a flop either under the right situations, depending upon game flow at the time. I don't think I would take the raise, jam 80% option with this hand but would be interested to hear more thinking around why this could be optimal play.
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