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October 25, 2013
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11 left of a small $4 tournie. I opened the button with 88 and am 3 bet by small blind. Not too much history between the 2 of us however i have seen him 3 bet sb a couple of times earlier on in the tourney with a fairly wide range. I had just doubled up having faced a shove when in the bb. The tournie is top heavy in the payouts, we are into the money but im only interested in a top 5 finish really the cash for 11th through to 5 is fairly small. What do you guys think i should be doing in this situation?
Hero (BTN): t124890 1 BBs – VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2.0, Hands: 18251
Player2 (SB): t139393 1 BBs – VPIP: 28, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 2.8, Hands: 115
Player4 (BB): t174028 1 BBs – VPIP: 27, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 3.0, Hands: 84
Player9 (UTG): t150649 1 BBs – VPIP: 24, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 8.0, Hands: 74
Player10 (CO): t74151 1 BBs – VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 72
Pre Flop: (t0) Hero is BTN with 8 8
2 folds, Hero raises to t10000, Player2 raises to t23000, 1 fold
September 29, 2012
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You clipped off the top of the hand that indicates the blinds, which would help in identifying how your stack sizes up to the blinds.
However, considering he has shown a penchant for re-steal 3b I think this might be a shove here. But I can't really do the equity analysis without the levels.
November 4, 2013
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This is a shove, probably around 95% of the time. As focault said you need a specific read to justify not shoving here. You have a lot of FE when you shove and he's only going to be able to call with the top of his range (JJ-AA, AKs, AKo, AQs if he's crazy). You will resteal here the vast majority of the time, and more importantly, he won't be very likely to 3b his SB again.
October 25, 2013
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