October 25, 2013
11 left of a small $4 tournie. I opened the button with 88 and am 3 bet by small blind. Not too much history between the 2 of us however i have seen him 3 bet sb a couple of times earlier on in the tourney with a fairly wide range. I had just doubled up having faced a shove when in the bb. The tournie is top heavy in the payouts, we are into the money but im only interested in a top 5 finish really the cash for 11th through to 5 is fairly small. What do you guys think i should be doing in this situation?
Hero (BTN): t124890 1 BBs – VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 2.0, Hands: 18251
Player2 (SB): t139393 1 BBs – VPIP: 28, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 2.8, Hands: 115
Player4 (BB): t174028 1 BBs – VPIP: 27, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 3.0, Hands: 84
Player9 (UTG): t150649 1 BBs – VPIP: 24, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 8.0, Hands: 74
Player10 (CO): t74151 1 BBs – VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 72
Pre Flop: (t0) Hero is BTN with 8 8
2 folds, Hero raises to t10000, Player2 raises to t23000, 1 fold
September 29, 2012
You clipped off the top of the hand that indicates the blinds, which would help in identifying how your stack sizes up to the blinds.
However, considering he has shown a penchant for re-steal 3b I think this might be a shove here. But I can't really do the equity analysis without the levels.
November 4, 2013
This is a shove, probably around 95% of the time. As focault said you need a specific read to justify not shoving here. You have a lot of FE when you shove and he's only going to be able to call with the top of his range (JJ-AA, AKs, AKo, AQs if he's crazy). You will resteal here the vast majority of the time, and more importantly, he won't be very likely to 3b his SB again.
October 25, 2013
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