For me this is a positional thing. Villian is open shoving 29bb's UTG. Just from experience, this is usually a play from a less experienced player with 99+. So there for I am folding here. Open shoving that many big blinds is ridiculous but it is always some player that is scared to play a medium to high pair post flop.

Great point. I did not pay attention to that and I should have. I still think he is doing this UTG with no regard to your 16bb stack on the BTN so I feel like his range here could be AJs, AQ+, or 99+. Still makes it a fold for you. I could be wrong on his range there but unless you have a read on him as just mega aggro then I think I am pretty close.

Hey Pro, Great Post…because I think that we all find ourselves in this spot during a mtt.  In regards to your question, I think that the big stack should know in this circumstance he can jam pretty wide knowing he has the fe and he can run over the table while everyone is trying to hold on to get the price.  In this particular spot 99s are the bottom of my range here, (8s is an insta fold), 9s still may be a tight fold due to the fact you are over 10bb with shortys at your table prior to getting to the final table.  I don't hate your call here because you are going to have to win some flips/races to go deep, but I typically like to be the raiser not the caller.  If your 9s hold here, great double up and you may not of posted.  At the end of the day you got it in good and that it is all you can ask for.  When playing in a satty though, ICM and stack sizes are critical and you want to pick your spots wisely. Best of luck at the tables.

If he has done this for 3 or more straight hands when not in the blinds then I am calling but you did not indicate him doing that. We are 2nd in chips at this point even though it is only 16bb's. We gotta remember that we can shove optimally vs. these short stacks on our left and easily chip up and win the seat. This is why I fold the 99 here vs his range in this spot.

can i just clarify

are there 5 players left in the tourney?

or are there 10 players?

hapetimes said:

pretty close call imo

he's not super light b/c he's nearly always showing down with the micro stack or 1 of us

i'd basically ask myself would he do this with 88 or 77.. if the answer is more than a brief yes then i'd call

 

I always harp on about one other factor here, and that is what does our future look like?

by this i mean how much potential do we have to chip up and put pressure on others (particularly the 2 opponents to our left) in future spots?

this is extremely relevant in ICM terms closer to the bubble obv where you can fold many more hands to this kind of shove if you know you can exploit the players to your left in the same way

 

another thing to consider is you will almost certainly be at the FT within 2 hands time which will be before the blinds hit you again (unless of course some idiot can fold down to 1BB). so a case sould be made for tightening our range in order to make the FT and wait and see what our position is relative to other stack sizes hoping for the big ones all to our right and shorties to our left

 

fwiw my range in this spot would probably be exactly 99+AQ+

I 100% agree with everything hape said here ,my range is 99+ AQ+ too

I only had one thing in my mind.

10 ppl left, first 3 guys get entry to the sunday million, if i win this 200k pot with 99 im takinf this sat down easily thats why i called.

But I still think 88 and 99 are a weak point in my game.