This is a pretty simple spot, but thought a theory discussion might be interesting. It's the second hand of a 45man sng on tilt (these are much different than the Stars Turbo 45s for those who aren't familiar). I find myself 3 betting here about 80% of the time but was wondering if any of you ever flat this:
Argument for 3 bet:
We pick up the pot a ton
We get an extra chance at a fold w a cbet
We can get it in comfortably and if we win start the tourney w a nice advantage.
Argument for flatting:
We push out a ton of hands we waffle crush when we 3-bet
When we 3-bet/get called. I don't think our cbet has a very high % of working. (If Villain pot/flats he def has something)
I think when we flat and hit we can often pick up a decent sized pot post.
I feel like 3-betting is the slightly better argument, but it's close to me. Also keep in mind the buy in.
Full Tilt Poker $69 + $6 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t15/t30 Blinds – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
Daeniel83 (BTN): t1485 49.50 BBs
topoli550 (SB): t1440 48 BBs
savant111 (BB): t1500 50 BBs
Vinkyy (UTG): t1500 50 BBs
Sany Mizuki (UTG+1): t1500 50 BBs
Caml09 (UTG+2): t1500 50 BBs
Bruksta (MP1): t1740 58 BBs
got_air81 (MP2): t1500 50 BBs
POKERDUDEDAN (CO): t1335 44.50 BBs
Pre Flop: (t45) savant111 is BB with A K
5 folds, POKERDUDEDAN raises to t105, 2 folds, savant111 Flat or 3-bet????
I like to be aggressive here since we have position and have no idea how villain plays. Put him to a decision, make him define his range a bit more. I raise to around 235 here to take the lead and build a pot and give him a chance to spaz out with AQ (if they ever do at these stakes?)
I pretty much always take the aggressive approach when I can since it puts people out of their comfort zone which leads to them making mistakes. Also building a maniac image in order to get called down light can never be a bad thing.
In that case I think I like flatting here since there is a lot of value keeping your hand well disguised OOP. That way it’s an easy fold if you brick the flop, you still have enough time to build a stack. If you flop an ace you may get all his chips if he has AQ or AJ or even worse coz he doesn’t think you have AK ever.
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