March 26, 2013
I think this is an easy call. At 20 minutes blind levels live I don't think there are too many better opportunities to increase your stack. 8bbs play UTG+1 seems odd but I have seen loads of players limp with rubbish and fold even with 8bbs back in low stakes live tournaments. It is most likely that UTG+2 sees the limp as an opportunity to pick up some dead money so I think calling the shove is easily profitable in this spot.
March 8, 2013
Have you seen this player make any preflop shoves before? Most live players don't play shove or fold with 14BB, so I doubt you're ahead here very often. Given the small antes and the fact that 3 players are yet to act, I like a fold here. I think you are flipping almost 100% of the time, and I don't think it's worth it when you know are behind.
March 26, 2013
If you have a read on the villain that makes you believe he is aware of his push/fold game then this is without doubt a very easy call for you to make.
If he is shoving hands like most pairs, AJ+, ATs+ and maybe KQ+ then youre in good shape against his range. Remember also that he is unlikely to be jamming JJ-AA as he would open raise and want action.
The blinds going up every 20 minutes makes this a spot that should not be refused at all.
March 8, 2013
I definitely agree wtih Poking Fun that if you know he plays push/fold this is a snap call. In my experience playing 1-3 live tourneys per week for about this price in Minnesota, about 5% of the players would regularly shove 14BB. Given the limper, maybe more like 10%.
Given all of the fishy things you noticed about the villain, what did you see to make you feel he gets it?
Or am I just living in Magical Christmas Land, and most of the fish in your casino know how to shove and fold?
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