Absolute Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t200/t400 Blinds + t50 – 9 players
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
BB: BB = 42.8, t17129
UTG: BB = 29.2, t11675
UTG+1: BB = 7.6, t3055
UTG+2: BB = 9.9, t3946
MP1: BB = 15.7, t6263
MP2: BB = 17.1, t6842
Hero (CO): BB = 11.1, t4430
BTN: BB = 55.4, t22158
SB: BB = 27.5, t11004
Pre Flop: (t1050) Hero is CO with 6 9
7 folds, Hero shoves
I really need to learn the proper math behind these shoves!
I had a feeling it was -EV but the blinds were tight and I thought I could get away with it, although I did just shove the previous hand and took it down.
There is a TPE Theory Video called “TPE Math” and included is a excel spreadsheet which you can use to plug in the numbers, give the bb a few different calling ranges (10%,15%,20% etc..) and calculate if the shove was +ev or not.
Having said all that, if the BB didn't have so many chips I would auto shove this as 69s plays decently if called by two overs.
I would rather shove some suited connector/gapper vs a raggy ace alot of the time as you probably have 2 live cards. (But if I had A6 or A9 here though I insta jam lol..how's that for a contradiction)
I probably fold considernig the BB's stack size. If the SB and BB had the same sized stack I shove all day and twice on Sunday 🙂
Definitely check out the video and spreadsheet that meta mentions above. I went ahead and did the calcs giving both blinds pretty wide ranges of 27% (22+,A2s+,K8s+,QJs,A2o+,K9o+,QTo+).
It's +EV but it's close. At this stage, given how short you are and how hard it is to find a spot to open shove I'd take it and just hope to get folds or a bink.
Pot 1050
Your Stack 4380
BB 400
Effective Stack 4380
Single Call Range 27.00%
Left to Act 2
Call % 46.71%
Fold % 53.29%
Win % 38.00%
Lose % 62.00%
If we shove and get folds 5430
If we shove, get called and win 9810
If we shove, get called and lose 0
EV of a Shove 4635
EV of a Fold 4380
Net EV of a Shove 255
EV as % of Stack 5.82%
EV as # of BBs 0.64
Risk of Busto 28.96%
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