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5$ rebuy final tanle
Klemi
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November 15, 2010 - 2:12 pm
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5,5$ rebuy, FT Stars, payouts 2,9K; 3,6 K; 5,2K; 7,6K .

Board:

BB: $4,144,761

CO: $10,593,400

Button: $3,699,911

SB: $2,930,928

Dealt to BB AClub
8Heart

Pre-flop:

(1 folds), Button raises to $450,000, (1 folds), ( 150K +75K +450K+ 4x15K Ante= potsize 735 K) Hero?

facts

opp loose; 3bb standard open, capable of openraise/folding

Easy reshove? I think it's an easy shove but i had a discussion with a friend referring ICM. What do you guys think???

3bet/folding is out of question i think, or? Someone told me that to do.

 

Thanks for help!

lespaulgman
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November 15, 2010 - 6:31 pm
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Given the two stacks that you out chip, I would seriously consider folding this. The pay jumps and your stack I think make this a fold for me.

jshilling09
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November 15, 2010 - 7:25 pm
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i think I would reshove here.  If he is loose, he probably opens a lot of his buttons, and will be calling a very small percentage of 3-bet shoves here.  He may even lay down hands like AT and 77, but that seems a little too tight.  Regardless, with his assumed opening range here I think i would jam, and if he has you beat, too bad.  You really want to put yourself in a position to get 2nd or win, because that's were the major pay jumps occur.

brentd22
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November 15, 2010 - 8:08 pm
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Jam or Fold IMO leaning toward Jam.

FkCoolers
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November 16, 2010 - 10:54 am
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I'd rather pick on the two shorter stacks and keep chipping up that way than reship a marginal Ax here and hope for the best.

mistergj
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November 16, 2010 - 4:17 pm
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If I'm really keen to get it in, but would like a hand that has decent equity against his calling range then I'd prefer going with AJ+, pocket pairs and high suited connectors JTs. I definitely fold here based on the info. A8o is going to be absolutely crushed by his calling range!

jshilling09
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November 16, 2010 - 5:34 pm
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We have 25% equity against a calling range of ATs+ AJo+ 77+.  That accouts for about 8% of hands.  He is probably opening 40% of buttons if he is loose, even at this stage of the tournament. 

 

so 80% of the time we win 750 K making our stack 4,864,761(.8)= 3,891,808

20% of the time our stack will be 2,037,455+ 444,850= 2,482,305(.2)= 496,461

3,891,808+496,461= 4,388,269 or +243,508 in chips.

 

The wider he calls, the less we expect to make to a certain point, but I think this is a pretty good spot to shove.  And ICM isn't a huge factor, as we are basically the same as the smaller 2 stacks.  If the other short stack not in that hand had 1 mill, then this would be a fold, but right now I think it's too good of a spot to pass up.

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