July 22, 2015
Final table with prize distribution as below
1st – 19.19%; 2nd – 14.25%; 3rd – 10.5%; 4th – 8%; 5th – 5.6%; 6th – 4.35%; 7th – 3.25%
$4.50+$0.50|4000/8000 Ante 1000 NL – Holdem – 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 12.39 BB
SB: 33.28 BB (VPIP: 17.36, PFR: 13.79, 3Bet Preflop: 12.77, Hands: 121)
BB: 16.99 BB (VPIP: 12.28, PFR: 10.91, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, Hands: 57)
UTG: 43.5 BB (VPIP: 22.82, PFR: 13.10, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 150)
UTG+1: 11.2 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)
MP: 82.15 BB (VPIP: 15.87, PFR: 13.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 64)
CO: 32.99 BB (VPIP: 39.53, PFR: 36.14, 3Bet Preflop: 10.71, Hands: 91)
7 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.38 BB) Hero has A 3
fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, Hero ?
CO is pretty decent player, and aggressive in stealing from late position. (15 times out of 21, 71.43% total 91 hands only)
assume CO open with
22+,A2+,K3s+,K6o+,Q8+,J8s+,J9o+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,65s,54s (40.27%)
and call with
55+,A7s+,A8o+,KTs+,KQo (13.88%)
(16.7%) 22+,A2s+,A9o+,KTs+,KQo,QTs+,JTs is our pushing range. A3o is -0.05%
Assume
SB overcall is 99+,AK (3.8%)
BB overcall is 99+,AJs+,AQo+ (5.4%)
I think CO could be open more than 40.27%, making this decision a little bit closer. What do you guys think?
The ICM is calculated with ICMizer 2, I think FGS (Future Game Simulation) is not needed here, as no stack is lower than 10bbs, and CO and me are not in UTG, SB, BB next hand.
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