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Home Forum MTT Poker Strategy $5 2R1A - fold AK pre?

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$5 2R1A - fold AK pre?

black666

Grinding Micros

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May 31, 2012

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April 7, 2013 - 1:59 pm

Villain played 7/4/0 over a sample of 70 hands. So needless to say we was a serious nit. It kind of hurt me to flat pre with 25bb effective but what am I really getting value from? After a 3b and 4b it seems like I've saved some money and it's time to fold AK pre, no?

Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t150/t300 Blinds + t40 – 9 players – View hand 2169479
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter

GinikoloG (UTG+2): BB = 121.9, t36557
svistyle4ka (MP1): BB = 14.6, t4367
77kol0bok77 (MP2): BB = 37.9, t11372
Hero (CO): BB = 34.7, t10417
mula46 (BTN): BB = 75.3, t22592
Linkinjunior (SB): BB = 27.6, t8278
DamoWain (BB): BB = 44.8, t13448
MrMiksmaster (UTG): BB = 24.7, t7405
razorbite (UTG+1): BB = 49.6, t14883

Pre Flop: (t810) Hero is CO with K of hearts A of diamonds
1 fold, razorbite raises to t600, 3 folds, Hero calls t600, mula46 calls t600, 1 fold, DamoWain raises to t2377, razorbite raises to t4154

ATrainBoston

Playing Freerolls

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April 8, 2013 - 12:13 am

With the read on villian, yes I fold.

ShortStackJack

Small Stakes Grinder

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July 17, 2012

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April 8, 2013 - 1:55 am

Yeah scary with a guy this tight, but a couple of considerations …

First, did you or he rebuy yet? If I haven’t used any or if I am on my last one will make a difference. I might find a fold if I am on my last gasp, but …

If I am not looking to pay jump and if it’s not gonna knock me out?

No WAY I am folding AK pre. I don’t care how tight the guy is. Sure. He might have AA or KK. We are only way behind to AA.

What is Mr Tight’s range then? AA KK QQ JJ 1010 AK … Maybe AQ. I think he is going to be very aggro with his whole range. And he is calling off with his while range too. He is more likely to have 1010-QQ because you have an A, so I am jamming here almost all the time.

Will you get picked off and loose the stack at times. Sure. Happens even when you are ahead. So, you rebuy.

But when you win this pot … Wow, you have heaps!

I am breaking my arm shoving my stack into this raise. High variance yes, but taking spots like this wins tourneys I think. Well, eventually. If you don’t get busted.

So as a follow up … Did you get to see what villian had? How did the rest of the hand play out?

duggs

Playing The Prelims

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April 8, 2013 - 2:43 am

^doing anything other than taking all your rebuys straight away seems really silly.

against 2 ranges of 99+ AQ+ we have 28.9% equity. and we arent doing much better than 2-1 on our money. changing the nits range to JJ+ AK we have 24.1% equity. given the 4x raise giving both ranges JJ+ AK we are 20%, so yea fold.

dont go seeking flips, especially flips where we are about 13% away from break even.

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