February 20, 2013
Nightly $11 6-max $4k gtd on Merge has topheavy pay structure with $250 for 4th and $1k for first.
Villain for both hands running 35/32/7 (filtered for stack size and # of players at table). I'm playing looser and we've been tangling it up for 20 minutes while other 2 players waited for hands.
Merge Network $4K Gtd – [6-Max, Deep] No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t10000.00/t20000.00 Blinds + t2000.00 – 4 players – View hand 2479939
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
tshen1 (CO): BB = 14.0, t280534
Hero (BTN): BB = 33.7, t674328
kelly324 (SB): BB = 39.4, t787136
rumsey182 (BB): BB = 46.2, t923002
Pre Flop: (t38000) Hero is BTN with 7 6
1 fold, Hero raises to t40000.00, kelly324 calls t30000, rumsey182 calls t20000
Flop: (t128000) T 8 8 (3 players)
kelly324 checks, rumsey182 checks, Hero bets t44444.00, kelly324 folds, rumsey182 raises to t123456.00, Hero folds
I wanted to go 222,222/fold so badly, and feel it works 50-65% of the time. Would this be good or is it just horrible ICM spew when I am repping somewhat thin with a “capable” image vs. an aggro player?
A few hands later I get the nuts vs. his button opening range. But I don't know whether to r/c induce or respect the ICM and just 3b stuff 33bbs. I'm not really looking to race or even 60/40 here and bust out for $250 when I am effectively chipping up in steals and resteals. He's also flatting a ton here and missed flops make me puke.
Merge Network $4K Gtd – [6-Max, Deep] No Limit Hold'em Tournament – t10000.00/t20000.00 Blinds + t2000.00 – 4 players – View hand 2479946
TournamentPokerEdge.com Hand History Converter
tshen1 (SB): BB = 12.8, t256534
Hero (BB): BB = 31.2, t623884
kelly324 (CO): BB = 37.2, t743136
rumsey182 (BTN): BB = 52.1, t1041446
Pre Flop: (t38000) Hero is BB with A Q
1 fold, rumsey182 raises to t40000.00, 1 fold, Hero….??
February 20, 2013
Good analysis, hand 1 indeed is a game of chicken. I just felt so strongly he had air. With AT or K8, I'm typically flatting flop obv. But I feel like he just blasts turn with air/draws if I take this line. And how often is he raising trips on flop? Maybe it is a bad flop cbet. Ck back flop/raise weak looking turn stabs could be a more credible value repping line.
He's aggro, but I don't think he's suicidal, so I doubt he has a wide calling range of my 3b jam pre. He'd prolly put me on a middling pair and snap off something like AJ, ATs, 77+. Spoiler alert- his 4b jamming range over my 3b induce includes hands at least as weak as KJo. So maybe a range like all broadways, all pairs, K8s+, T9s, 89s, 87s. His overall steal was 60 (25instances) and button steal was 89 (9 instances).
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