August 4, 2013
Before I seen what he had at the bottom of the post I put him on a pair of 7’s, A7 maybe, having hearts or diamonds seems more unlikely since he would probably bet the turn with a flush draw hoping to take it down so after that I lean more towards a weak to decent 7 or weak queen so a naked 7 seems most likely, and he can’t put you on a pair of queens the way it played out unless you are know to bet top pair on the flop then shut it down on the turn. Him checking the flop and you betting he can put you on a queen, but once the turn comes and it goes check check he has to think his 7 is good, especially when the second flush draw shows up and you don’t bet, the story you were trying to tell doesn’t add up, if you fired another bullet on the turn I think you take it down most of the time. The backdoor FD is not too scary, in the end you would have saved more money betting the turn and taking it down a higher percentage of the time than reraising the river on a backdoor FD scare card with the story not seeming to add up…. what do you think?
May 30, 2012
I think you're out of position and don't need to spew chips in this spot. This tourney is full of soft players. But once you have a nice stack, keep it, don't give away the chips. Just remember, what is the STORY you are trying to tell. You bet the flop, so you're saying I have a Q, 7 or diamonds, when you chk the turn, I don't think you have a Q now. and never put you on hearts cause you would bet the turn. Ultimately I think you should have definetly folding once he bet the river, no need to spew 10k more. Better spots for that in my opinion. Especially in this tourney. It's all about learning. I hope you crush teh next bunch of tourneys sir.
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